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Titan 50 Leaders

Equity · Stocks · Started Oct 2016

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
16.7%
Max Drawdown
52.5%
Trades
439
Win Trades
56.0%
Profit Factor
1.80
Win Months
61.3%
Subscribe Full access for $99/month

About this strategy

Titan 50 Leaders is a systematic investment strategy focused on identifying leadership within the U.S. equity market.

The strategy selects 10 stocks from a universe composed of the 50 largest publicly traded companies in the United States, using a disciplined process based on relative strength, momentum, and factor investing principles.

Titan 50 Leaders is designed for investors seeking a rules-based approach that removes emotional decision-making and focuses instead on market leadership and trend persistence.

The portfolio is rebalanced monthly, typically on the last trading day of each month. Under certain market conditions, and following a Dual Momentum approach, the strategy may partially or fully allocate to cash in order to manage downside risk during unfavorable market environments.

Key characteristics of the strategy:

• Concentrated portfolio of 10 positions
• Long-only equity exposure
• No leverage or margin used
• Monthly systematic rebalancing
• Relative strength and momentum-driven selection process
• Risk management through adaptive cash exposure when required

The objective of Titan 50 Leaders is not to predict the market, but to systematically participate in strong market trends while maintaining a disciplined and repeatable investment process.

Hedged Equity Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20160.99.68.820.2
20176.9-1.42.8-0.27.0-1.37.50.61.113.2-2.1-7.727.7
201810.22.4-4.20.03.21.4-3.87.03.0-13.31.2-7.0-2.3
20195.23.90.72.6-1.06.41.27.8-10.51.73.11.723.9
20208.0-6.422.88.41.24.012.50.2-3.4-7.68.32.358.0
2021-4.2-7.9-3.58.7-0.76.66.34.4-10.613.02.62.415.1
2022-11.2-6.9-6.9-23.9-2.4-11.97.6-1.6-3.4-4.00.5-0.8-50.6
20230.61.95.63.614.45.26.20.0-6.50.410.56.057.6
202410.415.72.2-6.67.13.8-6.71.72.1-0.210.1-3.139.9
20254.2-13.4-7.46.66.56.25.4-2.95.08.0-7.5-1.07.0
2026-1.6-5.8-4.821.314.8-4.8-7.07.617.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/3/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age120 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades439
# Profitable246
% Profitable56.0%
Avg trade duration54.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown52.5%
drawdown periodDec 28, 2021 - Dec 16, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)16.7%
Avg win$166
Avg loss$117

Ratios

W:L ratio1.84
Sharpe Ratio0.63
Sortino Ratio0.90
Calmar Ratio0.45

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.44
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life255.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)102.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)16.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)20.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity6.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss44.5%
Chance of 20% account loss16.0%
Chance of 30% account loss8.0%
Chance of 40% account loss1.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)854
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)306

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187247
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$117
Avg Win$166
# Winners246
Sum Trade PL (losers)$22,490
Sum Trade PL (winners)$40,904
Num Months Winners75
# Losers193
% Winners56.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct547

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table119

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)78330.13
Avg Position Time (hrs)1305.50
Avg Trade Length54.40
Last Trade Ago50

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.31
Daily leverage (max)4.01

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.50
Treynor Index0.09

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.08
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.59
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats83.18
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats54.38
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.32
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.59
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.37

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.18
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.78
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.78
df113
t2.41
p0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.43
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.42
Sortino ratio1.24
Upside Potential Ratio2.77
Upside part of mean0.41
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms70
N negative terms44
N of observations114
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.02
r0.51
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.61
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error112
t(b)6.29
p(b)0.24
t(a)1.63
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.16
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.65
df113
t2.02
p0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.29
Sortino ratio0.97
Upside Potential Ratio2.46
Upside part of mean0.39
Downside part of mean-0.24
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms70
N negative terms44
N of observations114
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.02
r0.48
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.54
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error112
t(b)5.75
p(b)0.26
t(a)1.46
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)0.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean0.18
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.98
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.98
df2504
t3.03
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.34
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.61
Sortino ratio1.39
Upside Potential Ratio8.98
Upside part of mean1.14
Downside part of mean-0.97
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms1409
N negative terms1096
N of observations2505
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.44
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error2503
t(b)24.32
p(b)0
t(a)2.36
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)0.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
Mean0.16
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.89
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.89
df2504
t2.74
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.52
Sortino ratio1.24
Upside Potential Ratio8.80
Upside part of mean1.14
Downside part of mean-0.98
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms1409
N negative terms1096
N of observations2505
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.44
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error2503
t(b)24.28
p(b)0
t(a)2.19
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.22
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.40
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.98
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.97
df130
t1.40
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.82
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.75
Sortino ratio3.07
Upside Potential Ratio11.41
Upside part of mean1.48
Downside part of mean-1.08
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms58
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.40
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.02
r0.78
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)14.15
p(b)0.06
t(a)0.80
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.50
Treynor index (mean / b)0.36
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.38
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.87
df130
t1.33
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.65
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.91
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.65
Sortino ratio2.88
Upside Potential Ratio11.19
Upside part of mean1.47
Downside part of mean-1.09
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms58
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.38
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.02
r0.78
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)14.19
p(b)0.06
t(a)0.75
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.96
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)0.34
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations114
Minimum0.77
Quartile 10.98
Median1.02
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.18
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.82
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.30
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.11
Number of observations2505
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low76
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high47
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.14
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations15
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.04
Median0.09
Quartile 30.13
Maximum0.45
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.23
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.45
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.27
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.46
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.58
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.34
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations78
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.46
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.21
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.23
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.17
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.48
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.17
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-18.14
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.54
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-408665664
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)353
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.50
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.20
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.45
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.86
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.67
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.53
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.21
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.45
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.45
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.34
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.45
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.50
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.43
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal20.93

Trading record

Placed 203 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
KLAC long1Jun 12, 2026Jun 30, 2026$64
WMT long1May 13, 2026Jun 1, 2026($17)
VT long3May 14, 2026Jun 1, 2026$7
IWM long1May 22, 2026Jun 1, 2026$2
VGT long2Apr 21, 2026May 13, 2026$24
ORCL long7Jul 1, 2025May 13, 2026($27)
GS long2Aug 1, 2025May 13, 2026$255
GE long6Jul 1, 2025May 13, 2026$224
ETHA long3Aug 5, 2025Sep 22, 2025$13
JPM long5Aug 1, 2025Sep 12, 2025$54
INTU long2Jul 1, 2025Sep 12, 2025($134)
IBM long5Jul 1, 2025Aug 1, 2025($214)
PM long8Jul 1, 2025Aug 1, 2025($112)
NFLX long1Jul 1, 2025Aug 1, 2025($138)
MSFT long3Jun 2, 2025Jul 1, 2025$95
IBM long10Jun 2, 2025Jul 1, 2025$295
INTU long2Jun 2, 2025Jul 1, 2025$32
AVGO long6Jun 2, 2025Jul 1, 2025$91
GE long6May 5, 2025Jul 1, 2025$240
PM long9Mar 3, 2025Jul 1, 2025$175
PLTR long14Mar 3, 2025Jul 1, 2025$477
V long8Mar 3, 2025Jul 1, 2025($37)
T long57May 5, 2025Jul 1, 2025$69
KO long19May 5, 2025Jun 2, 2025$4
ABT long10Mar 3, 2025Jun 2, 2025($74)
BRK.B long3May 5, 2025Jun 2, 2025($51)
IBM short1May 5, 2025May 5, 2025($0)
META long2Feb 3, 2025May 5, 2025($203)
TMUS long5Mar 3, 2025May 5, 2025($131)
PM short9Mar 3, 2025Mar 3, 2025($1)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.