Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

The ACE

Equity · Stocks · Started Feb 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
19.6%
Max Drawdown
40.6%
Trades
543
Win Trades
52.5%
Profit Factor
1.70
Win Months
58.2%
Subscribe Full access for $195/month

About this strategy

The ACE leverages a diverse set of successful strategies to create outsized returns with low drawdowns. No forced trades, patience and discretion is key to long-term, high profitability with low drawdowns. All futures and equities traded are highly liquid and the portfolio is designed to scale up.

Markets:

Equities and ETF's – High growth, recurring revenue companies and a select group of leveraged ETF’s are traded to utilize available cash and increase portfolio returns. All entries and exits are completely automated based on two very successful, time-tested algorithms.

Disclosure:
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. You should not act on the ideas shared until you have consulted with your financial, investment, tax, and legal adviser.

Momentum Sector Rotation

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20203.45.316.918.57.84.25.72.2-3.118.77.0124.9
20215.40.00.47.60.72.2-2.36.7-4.77.6-3.8-1.518.7
2022-9.83.72.6-1.30.9-4.55.1-2.5-1.5-1.1-6.4-0.7-15.4
20239.9-8.01.63.40.40.82.7-3.0-8.1-3.2-4.65.8-3.9
2024-6.23.09.3-8.28.7-2.710.2-9.00.87.022.5-7.226.4
20255.4-10.55.813.46.97.23.5-3.410.4-3.4-9.1-6.617.4
20265.5-6.0-16.320.44.7-8.0-3.87.5-0.4

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/28/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age79 months
C2 RankTop 6.9%
What it tradesStocks
# Trades543
# Profitable285
% Profitable52.5%
Avg trade duration40.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown40.6%
drawdown periodOct 15, 2025 - March 30, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)19.6%
Avg win$134
Avg loss$90

Ratios

W:L ratio1.72
Sharpe Ratio0.65
Sortino Ratio0.93
Calmar Ratio0.85

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.40
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life159.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)61.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)19.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)24.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity32.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.1%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.9%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss55.5%
Chance of 20% account loss23.5%
Chance of 30% account loss6.5%
Chance of 40% account loss4.0%
Chance of 50% account loss1.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)533
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)847
C2 Score931
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)750

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$91
Avg Win$135
# Winners285
Sum Trade PL (losers)$23,576
Sum Trade PL (winners)$38,384
Num Months Winners47
# Losers258
% Winners52.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct747

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table79

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)58611.95
Avg Position Time (hrs)976.87
Avg Trade Length40.70
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.48
Daily leverage (max)17.13

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.46
Treynor Index0.11

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.18
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.44
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats65.34
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats40.12
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.37
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.47
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.23

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.21
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.93
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.92
df76
t2.34
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.70
Sortino ratio1.77
Upside Potential Ratio3.54
Upside part of mean0.43
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms32
N of observations77
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.02
r0.41
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.56
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error75
t(b)3.93
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.60
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.85
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.19
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.82
df76
t2.09
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.60
Sortino ratio1.47
Upside Potential Ratio3.22
Upside part of mean0.41
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms32
N of observations77
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.02
r0.40
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.53
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error75
t(b)3.76
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.46
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)0.35
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean0.21
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99
df1682
t2.51
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.77
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.77
Sortino ratio1.43
Upside Potential Ratio8.96
Upside part of mean1.32
Downside part of mean-1.10
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms927
N negative terms756
N of observations1683
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.02
r0.40
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.41
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error1681
t(b)17.75
p(b)0.25
t(a)1.98
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)0.51
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.19
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.88
df1682
t2.24
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.66
Sortino ratio1.26
Upside Potential Ratio8.75
Upside part of mean1.30
Downside part of mean-1.12
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms927
N negative terms756
N of observations1683
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.02
r0.40
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.41
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error1681
t(b)17.85
p(b)0.25
t(a)1.80
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)0.45
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.15
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.64
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.63
df130
t0.45
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.14
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.41
Sortino ratio0.94
Upside Potential Ratio9.45
Upside part of mean1.52
Downside part of mean-1.37
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms65
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.02
r0.63
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)9.20
p(b)0.13
t(a)-0.18
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.47
Treynor index (mean / b)0.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
Mean0.12
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.52
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.52
df130
t0.37
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.26
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.29
Sortino ratio0.76
Upside Potential Ratio9.23
Upside part of mean1.50
Downside part of mean-1.38
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms65
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.02
r0.63
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)9.23
p(b)0.13
t(a)-0.24
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.83
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.45
Treynor index (mean / b)0.12
Jensen alpha (a)-0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations77
Minimum0.84
Quartile 10.98
Median1.02
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.20
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.84
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.42
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.58
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations1683
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low60
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high44
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.19
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.95
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations8
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.24
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.22
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations56
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.28
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.29
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.20
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.08
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.15
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-425541024
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)166
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.46
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.08
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.14
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.47
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.85
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.07
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.27
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.16
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.16
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.12
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.12
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.56

Trading record

Placed 2465 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SSO long14Aug 10, 2026Aug 17, 2026($0)
UWM long164Jul 14, 2026Aug 17, 2026$322
EEM long134Jul 27, 2026Aug 10, 2026$191
UUP long33Jul 27, 2026Aug 3, 2026($16)
SSO long50Jul 14, 2026Jul 27, 2026($90)
UUP long499May 19, 2026Jul 27, 2026$133
IWM long14Jun 22, 2026Jul 14, 2026($30)
EEM long64Jul 7, 2026Jul 14, 2026($6)
TLT long32Jul 7, 2026Jul 14, 2026($22)
SPY long1Jun 29, 2026Jul 7, 2026$6
TLT long5Jun 22, 2026Jun 29, 2026$6
EEM long84May 12, 2026Jun 22, 2026$157
UWM long39Jun 9, 2026Jun 22, 2026$130
SSO long36Jun 9, 2026Jun 16, 2026$51
URTY long153Apr 6, 2026Jun 9, 2026$433
UPRO long77Apr 14, 2026Jun 9, 2026$995
UGL long4May 19, 2026Jun 9, 2026($17)
EEM long191Mar 30, 2026May 4, 2026$1,098
TMF long63Apr 6, 2026Apr 20, 2026$14
UUP long62Apr 6, 2026Apr 14, 2026($36)
URTY long224Mar 19, 2026Mar 30, 2026($1,310)
UUP long420Mar 3, 2026Mar 23, 2026$8
UPRO long14Mar 3, 2026Mar 11, 2026($46)
URTY long94Dec 22, 2025Mar 11, 2026($135)
TMF long100Feb 17, 2026Mar 11, 2026($155)
UPRO long13Feb 17, 2026Feb 24, 2026($27)
TMF long25Jan 26, 2026Feb 2, 2026($44)
UUP long130Jan 12, 2026Jan 26, 2026($64)
UPRO long18Jan 12, 2026Jan 26, 2026$48
TMF long5Jan 12, 2026Jan 20, 2026($6)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.