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AltData III

Stocks · Started Dec 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
19.7%
Max Drawdown
37.9%
Trades
400
Win Trades
53.2%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
53.5%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202317.418.2-0.92.7-9.1-0.29.7-1.31.813.6-8.047.7
2024-2.127.5-1.80.311.81.82.36.7-4.9-5.31.0-9.525.6
20250.5-2.8-3.22.6-4.03.50.61.8-0.7-0.01.0-0.5-1.6
20263.76.40.94.4-3.4-1.2-0.9-3.75.8

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/27/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$1,940,000
Age45 months
C2 RankTop 6.1%
What it tradesStocks
# Trades400
# Profitable213
% Profitable53.2%
Avg trade duration30.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown37.9%
drawdown periodSept 03, 2024 - July 27, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)19.7%
Avg win$22,491
Avg loss$19,970

Ratios

W:L ratio1.29
Sharpe Ratio0.78
Sortino Ratio1.26
Calmar Ratio1.00

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life100.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-7.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)19.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)21.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity17.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.6%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss46.0%
Chance of 20% account loss21.5%
Chance of 30% account loss8.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.3%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)741
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)873
C2 Score939
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)684

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$20,420
Avg Win$22,727
# Winners213
Sum Trade PL (losers)$3,818,475
Sum Trade PL (winners)$4,840,778
Num Months Winners23
# Losers187
% Winners53.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct1313

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table43

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)43626.62
Avg Position Time (hrs)727.11
Avg Trade Length30.30
Last Trade Ago6

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.75
Daily leverage (max)2.30

Regression

Alpha0.05
Beta0.04
Treynor Index1.23

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades6.96
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.50
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.26
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.35
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.14

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.24
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.85
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.83
df37
t1.52
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.95
Sortino ratio2.22
Upside Potential Ratio3.98
Upside part of mean0.43
Downside part of mean-0.19
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms19
N negative terms19
N of observations38
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.00
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error36
t(b)0.74
p(b)0.23
t(a)1.07
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.54
Treynor index (mean / b)0.81
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
Mean0.20
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.77
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.75
df37
t1.37
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.87
Sortino ratio1.79
Upside Potential Ratio3.53
Upside part of mean0.40
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms19
N negative terms19
N of observations38
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.00
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error36
t(b)0.71
p(b)0.24
t(a)0.96
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)0.74
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean0.21
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.09
df840
t1.95
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.19
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.18
Sortino ratio1.75
Upside Potential Ratio7.27
Upside part of mean0.87
Downside part of mean-0.66
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms398
N negative terms443
N of observations841
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error839
t(b)0.69
p(b)0.24
t(a)1.90
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)7.10
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
Mean0.19
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.00
df840
t1.79
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.09
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.10
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.09
Sortino ratio1.56
Upside Potential Ratio7.02
Upside part of mean0.86
Downside part of mean-0.67
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms398
N negative terms443
N of observations841
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error839
t(b)0.69
p(b)0.24
t(a)1.74
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.40
Treynor index (mean / b)6.51
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.10
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.37
df130
t-0.97
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.15
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.41
Sortino ratio-1.62
Upside Potential Ratio5.53
Upside part of mean0.34
Downside part of mean-0.44
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms70
N negative terms61
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-0.10
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance-0.00
r-0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)-1.23
p(b)0.57
t(a)-0.86
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)1.81
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
Mean-0.10
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.41
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.40
df130
t-1.00
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.37
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.38
Sortino ratio-1.65
Upside Potential Ratio5.48
Upside part of mean0.34
Downside part of mean-0.44
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms70
N negative terms61
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-0.10
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance-0.00
r-0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)-1.24
p(b)0.57
t(a)-0.89
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)1.84
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations38
Minimum0.87
Quartile 10.98
Median1.00
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.26
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.13
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.87
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations841
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low64
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high65
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.58
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.45
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.47
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.54
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.07
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.21
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.21
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations23
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.24
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high0.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.18
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.19
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.67
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.46
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-382215168
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)327
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative1.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.26
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.75
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.99
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.32
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.08
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.48
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.07
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.76
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.27
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-7.44

Trading record

Placed 135 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GDDY long1318Jul 27, 2026Aug 17, 2026($2,713)
GDDY long787Jul 13, 2026Jul 20, 2026$1,805
ADSK long361Jun 15, 2026Jul 13, 2026$3,789
NET short223Jun 8, 2026Jul 13, 2026($3,578)
EBAY long718May 4, 2026Jul 13, 2026$4,506
PINS short2592May 11, 2026Jun 15, 2026($896)
ADSK long303Jun 1, 2026Jun 8, 2026($4,133)
WIX short940May 26, 2026Jun 8, 2026$1,738
ROK long174Apr 21, 2026Jun 8, 2026$5,636
FTNT short687Feb 2, 2026Jun 8, 2026($33,555)
NOK short5426Apr 13, 2026Jun 1, 2026($24,981)
GDDY long917Apr 13, 2026Jun 1, 2026$8,707
NOW long768May 4, 2026May 26, 2026$3,955
ADSK long296May 18, 2026May 26, 2026($1,311)
ROKU long564May 18, 2026May 26, 2026$1,027
HUBS long491Jan 20, 2026May 18, 2026($19,331)
OPRA long3778May 4, 2026May 11, 2026($3,065)
ROKU long602Apr 21, 2026May 11, 2026$8,128
SPOT short93Apr 21, 2026May 4, 2026$7,843
WDAY long622Apr 13, 2026May 4, 2026$7,138
INTU short179Jan 20, 2026May 4, 2026$9,029
SNOW short413Apr 13, 2026Apr 21, 2026($10,940)
NOW long843Apr 13, 2026Apr 21, 2026$11,671
ADSK long320Mar 30, 2026Apr 21, 2026$4,065
GDDY short532Mar 10, 2026Mar 16, 2026$4,703
TUYA short19608Mar 2, 2026Mar 10, 2026$1,760
WMT long547Mar 2, 2026Mar 10, 2026($1,870)
ROKU long786Feb 23, 2026Mar 2, 2026$10,134
SHOP short385Jan 20, 2026Feb 23, 2026$12,863
CSCO short798Jan 20, 2026Feb 23, 2026($2,295)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.