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EP-Space

Equity · Stocks · Started Sep 2024

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
66.6%
Max Drawdown
52.0%
Trades
132
Win Trades
93.2%
Profit Factor
35
Win Months
66.7%
Subscribe Full access for $80/month

About this strategy

The space industry is growing. It is a great place to invest for the next few years. EP-Space's goal is to trade these growth stocks with a high accuracy rate and profit factor. The strategy is rule-based. No emotional trading.

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20243.4-0.69.51.714.4
20254.5-0.7-28.512.428.617.6-1.07.90.86.4-11.334.572.2
20267.4-2.45.25.113.1-4.3-12.426.839.5

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/4/2024
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age24 months
C2 RankTop 5.6%
What it tradesStocks
# Trades132
# Profitable123
% Profitable93.2%
Avg trade duration25.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown52.0%
drawdown periodFeb 10, 2025 - April 07, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)66.6%
Avg win$169
Avg loss$67

Ratios

W:L ratio35.04
Sharpe Ratio1.15
Sortino Ratio1.90
Calmar Ratio1.92

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.31
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life38.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)136.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)66.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.7%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)75.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss57.5%
Chance of 20% account loss35.0%
Chance of 30% account loss9.5%
Chance of 40% account loss3.5%
Chance of 50% account loss1.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)533
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)883
C2 Score944
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)734

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$67
Avg Win$169
# Winners123
Sum Trade PL (losers)$599
Sum Trade PL (winners)$20,751
Num Months Winners16
# Losers9
% Winners93.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct119

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table24

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)37222.95
Avg Position Time (hrs)620.38
Avg Trade Length25.80
Last Trade Ago2

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.88
Daily leverage (max)5.75

Regression

Alpha0.12
Beta0.80
Treynor Index0.20

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.07
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.55
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.04
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats98.04
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats76.26
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.28
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-7.26
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.64

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.67
SD0.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.38
df22
t1.98
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.85
Sortino ratio2.69
Upside Potential Ratio3.88
Upside part of mean0.97
Downside part of mean-0.30
Upside SD0.43
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms17
N negative terms6
N of observations23
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.67
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.47
Covariance0.03
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.31
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error21
t(b)3.40
p(b)0.14
t(a)1.04
p(a)0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.93
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.31
Mean0.55
SD0.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.14
df22
t1.64
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.60
Sortino ratio1.89
Upside Potential Ratio3.03
Upside part of mean0.89
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.39
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms17
N negative terms6
N of observations23
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.55
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.47
Covariance0.04
r0.63
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error21
t(b)3.68
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.68
p(a)0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.79
Treynor index (mean / b)0.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.16
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.21
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean0.62
SD0.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.57
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.57
df508
t2.19
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.98
Sortino ratio2.66
Upside Potential Ratio9.42
Upside part of mean2.18
Downside part of mean-1.57
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms256
N negative terms253
N of observations509
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.62
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.39
Covariance0.02
r0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.76
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.50
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error507
t(b)7.45
p(b)0
t(a)1.87
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.03
Treynor index (mean / b)0.82
Jensen alpha (a)0.50
Mean0.54
SD0.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.39
df508
t1.94
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.80
Sortino ratio2.25
Upside Potential Ratio8.89
Upside part of mean2.14
Downside part of mean-1.59
Upside SD0.31
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms256
N negative terms253
N of observations509
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.54
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.39
Covariance0.02
r0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.78
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.43
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error507
t(b)7.78
p(b)0
t(a)1.63
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.95
Treynor index (mean / b)0.69
Jensen alpha (a)0.43
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.54
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.30
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.28
df130
t1.62
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.07
Sortino ratio4.47
Upside Potential Ratio13.15
Upside part of mean1.60
Downside part of mean-1.06
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms59
N negative terms72
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.54
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.01
r0.35
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.59
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.43
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error129
t(b)4.30
p(b)0.28
t(a)1.37
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.06
Treynor index (mean / b)0.92
Jensen alpha (a)0.43
Mean0.52
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.20
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.19
df130
t1.56
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.97
Sortino ratio4.20
Upside Potential Ratio12.85
Upside part of mean1.58
Downside part of mean-1.06
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms59
N negative terms72
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.52
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.01
r0.35
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.59
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.41
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error129
t(b)4.30
p(b)0.28
t(a)1.32
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.32
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.03
Treynor index (mean / b)0.88
Jensen alpha (a)0.41
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations23
Minimum0.69
Quartile 11.01
Median1.05
Quartile 31.12
Maximum1.33
Mean of quarter 10.91
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.07
Mean of quarter 41.22
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.69
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.33
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.11
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations509
Minimum0.87
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low22
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high33
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.46
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.02
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.22
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.09
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.35
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.09
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.35
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.35
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations38
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.40
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.77
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.58
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.82
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.19
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.25
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.60
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.29
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-380207456
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)56
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.79
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.27
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.27
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.82
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.77
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.92
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs6.57
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal16.53
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.63
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.72
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.90
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs8.59
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal26.26

Trading record

Placed 156 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
BKSY long41Aug 3, 2026Aug 19, 2026$168
LUNR long405Jun 11, 2026Aug 13, 2026$82
RDW long741Jun 2, 2026Aug 7, 2026$885
VSAT long13Jul 30, 2026Aug 5, 2026$34
ASTS long13Jun 29, 2026Jul 7, 2026$41
TSAT long22Jun 29, 2026Jul 1, 2026$41
VSAT long19Jun 4, 2026Jul 1, 2026$321
RCAT long246Mar 31, 2026May 29, 2026$530
ASTS long35Apr 8, 2026May 29, 2026$1,136
IRDM long22May 20, 2026May 29, 2026$103
VSAT long13May 22, 2026May 29, 2026$38
RKLB long7May 18, 2026May 28, 2026$72
LUNR long27May 18, 2026May 26, 2026$173
PL long25Apr 23, 2026May 18, 2026$23
RKLB long12May 6, 2026May 15, 2026$552
TSAT long19May 8, 2026May 15, 2026($23)
RDW long103May 6, 2026May 12, 2026$151
IRDM long24Apr 23, 2026May 12, 2026$7
BKSY long27May 6, 2026May 7, 2026$17
LUNR long40Apr 29, 2026May 7, 2026$56
TSAT long21Apr 16, 2026Apr 22, 2026$66
LUNR long41Apr 8, 2026Apr 21, 2026$115
PL long27Apr 10, 2026Apr 20, 2026$41
IRDM long26Apr 16, 2026Apr 17, 2026$100
BKSY long36Apr 2, 2026Apr 14, 2026$166
LUNR long49Apr 2, 2026Apr 7, 2026$101
IRDM long36Mar 31, 2026Apr 7, 2026$166
PL long41Mar 13, 2026Mar 23, 2026$268
VSAT long21Mar 10, 2026Mar 19, 2026$8
YW K6short1Mar 5, 2026Mar 5, 2026($17)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.