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PortfolioX

Equity · Stocks · Started Feb 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
7.5%
Max Drawdown
12.4%
Trades
264
Win Trades
56.8%
Profit Factor
1.50
Win Months
63.2%
Subscribe Full access for $49/month

About this strategy

Strategy Name: PortfolioX
Description:
PortfolioX is a diversified, multi-strategy trading system that combines several complementary approaches into a single, actively managed portfolio.
The strategy integrates fully automated mean reversion systems, systematic trend-following strategies, and selective discretionary trades focused on identifying fundamentally undervalued U.S. stocks.
All underlying strategies have been successfully traded live since 2018, providing a long-term, real-world track record across various market environments.

The objective of PortfolioX is to deliver consistent, risk-adjusted returns by blending uncorrelated trading styles and avoiding reliance on a single market regime.

- Trading Approach:
Markets: S&P 100, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and the broader U.S. equity universe (high-liquidity stocks)
Methods: Fully automated mean reversion strategies, Systematic trend-following strategies, Discretionary value-based trades focused on undervalued stocks
Holding Period: Mean reversion: intraday to single trading days, Trend-following & value positions: medium-term, from several months to a maximum of a few years

- Risk Management:
Risk management is embedded at both the strategy and portfolio level:
Stop-loss protection is applied in selected strategies to control downside risk
Diversification across multiple indices and strategy types helps reduce overall volatility
Position sizing and exposure limits are used to prevent concentration risk
This multi-layered approach aims to keep drawdowns under control while maintaining attractive return potential.

- Performance History:
PortfolioX is composed of strategies that have been live-traded on real capital since 2018, demonstrating robustness across different market regimes, including trending, range-bound, and high-volatility environments.
The combination of automation and disciplined discretionary decision-making ensures consistency while allowing adaptive positioning as market conditions evolve.

- Why Choose This Strategy?
Exposure to major U.S. equity markets (S&P 100, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100)
Diversified mix of mean reversion, trend-following, and value strategies
Proven live trading experience since 2018
Reduced dependence on a single market regime
Disciplined risk management with selective stop-loss usage
Designed for steady, long-term capital growth

Non-hedged Equity Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-1.0-0.1-0.01.61.10.40.43.20.12.7-3.84.5
20267.210.0-5.21.70.66.2-3.6-8.86.8

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/16/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age18 months
C2 Rank270
What it tradesStocks
# Trades264
# Profitable150
% Profitable56.8%
Avg trade duration47.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown12.4%
drawdown periodJune 30, 2026 - Aug 21, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)7.5%
Avg win$91
Avg loss$92

Ratios

W:L ratio1.48
Sharpe Ratio0.51
Sortino Ratio0.72
Calmar Ratio1.17

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.18
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life25.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-13.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)7.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)11.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity14.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss8.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated98.5%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)831
C2 Score270
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)295

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$92
Avg Win$94
# Winners150
Sum Trade PL (losers)$10,502
Sum Trade PL (winners)$14,052
Num Months Winners12
# Losers114
% Winners56.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct965

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table19

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)68934.25
Avg Position Time (hrs)1148.90
Avg Trade Length47.90
Last Trade Ago2

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.94
Daily leverage (max)2

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.10
Treynor Index0.16

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades8.06
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.25
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.54
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.48
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.11

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.17
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.82
df16
t2.28
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.58
Sortino ratio6.41
Upside Potential Ratio8.16
Upside part of mean0.21
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms6
N of observations17
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error15
t(b)1.07
p(b)0.33
t(a)2.02
p(a)0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)1.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.16
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.81
df16
t2.26
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.57
Sortino ratio6.17
Upside Potential Ratio7.93
Upside part of mean0.21
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms6
N of observations17
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error15
t(b)1.13
p(b)0.32
t(a)2.03
p(a)0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)1.16
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.09
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.03
df389
t1.26
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.64
Sortino ratio1.50
Upside Potential Ratio9.01
Upside part of mean0.56
Downside part of mean-0.47
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms204
N negative terms186
N of observations390
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.09
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error388
t(b)3.86
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.08
p(a)0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.22
Treynor index (mean / b)0.93
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean0.09
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.98
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.98
df389
t1.20
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.59
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.59
Sortino ratio1.43
Upside Potential Ratio8.92
Upside part of mean0.56
Downside part of mean-0.47
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms204
N negative terms186
N of observations390
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.09
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error388
t(b)3.92
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.05
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.22
Treynor index (mean / b)0.87
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.06
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.53
df130
t-0.38
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.24
Sortino ratio-0.71
Upside Potential Ratio7.88
Upside part of mean0.70
Downside part of mean-0.77
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms65
N negative terms66
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-0.06
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)2.00
p(b)0.39
t(a)-0.56
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.43
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
Mean-0.07
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.59
df130
t-0.42
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.19
Sortino ratio-0.78
Upside Potential Ratio7.79
Upside part of mean0.70
Downside part of mean-0.77
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms65
N negative terms66
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-0.07
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)1.99
p(b)0.39
t(a)-0.60
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.48
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations17
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.68
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations390
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low19
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high17
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.02
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations36
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-392818816
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)52
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.22
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.21
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)9.27
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs9.27
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.70
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.12
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.17
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.43
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.15
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.39
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.39
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.70

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NI long100Jul 24, 2026Aug 13, 2026($452)
LHX long15Jul 2, 2026Aug 3, 2026($374)
MU long8Jul 30, 2026Jul 31, 2026$460
APH long4Jul 29, 2026Jul 31, 2026$40
KLAC long2Jul 7, 2026Jul 30, 2026($73)
COHR long4Jul 27, 2026Jul 29, 2026($118)
AMD long13Jul 20, 2026Jul 22, 2026$324
JBL long4Jul 14, 2026Jul 20, 2026($96)
NBIS long1Jul 6, 2026Jul 20, 2026($34)
AMAT long2Jul 10, 2026Jul 20, 2026($101)
RKLB long2Jul 6, 2026Jul 17, 2026($62)
GNRC long2Jul 8, 2026Jul 9, 2026$22
GLW long6Jul 6, 2026Jul 8, 2026($106)
EMR long45Jun 24, 2026Jul 7, 2026($222)
NXPI long1Jun 5, 2026Jul 6, 2026($30)
AMD long1May 8, 2026Jul 6, 2026$88
ODFL long2May 7, 2026Jul 2, 2026$32
QCOM long2Jun 5, 2026Jul 2, 2026($95)
WDC long1May 8, 2026Jul 2, 2026$94
FSLR long5Jun 25, 2026Jun 30, 2026($67)
L long3May 8, 2026Jun 23, 2026$18
AAPL long10Jun 10, 2026Jun 16, 2026$47
CAT long7Jun 11, 2026Jun 12, 2026$133
MU long7Jun 8, 2026Jun 12, 2026$60
MAR long1May 11, 2026Jun 4, 2026$31
WBD long17May 8, 2026Jun 3, 2026($0)
GOOG long1May 8, 2026Jun 3, 2026($35)
ROST long2May 8, 2026Jun 2, 2026($4)
FANG long2May 8, 2026Jun 2, 2026$29

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.