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OPN Ind 8868

Stocks, Futures · Started Apr 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
28.0%
Max Drawdown
12.1%
Trades
28
Win Trades
50.0%
Profit Factor
5
Win Months
58.8%
Subscribe Full access for $68/month

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-3.0-0.7-0.3-0.21.05.51.13.10.16.5
2026-0.2-3.7-4.714.110.61.46.16.332.1

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/8/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age17 months
C2 RankTop 5.2%
What it tradesStocks, Futures
# Trades28
# Profitable14
% Profitable50.0%
Avg trade duration79.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown12.1%
drawdown periodFeb 02, 2026 - March 30, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)28.0%
Avg win$1,936
Avg loss$414

Ratios

W:L ratio4.97
Sharpe Ratio1.60
Sortino Ratio2.78
Calmar Ratio2.79

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.19
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life54.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-13.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)28.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)30.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.4%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.6%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss5.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)469
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)877
C2 Score948
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)805

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$414
Avg Win$1,936
# Winners14
Sum Trade PL (losers)$5,801
Sum Trade PL (winners)$27,100
Num Months Winners10
# Losers14
% Winners50.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct854

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table17

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)113924.38
Avg Position Time (hrs)1898.74
Avg Trade Length79.10
Last Trade Ago4

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.94
Daily leverage (max)6.61

Regression

Alpha0.05
Beta0.15
Treynor Index0.43

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.15
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-6.22
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.25
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.69
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.92

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.24
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.29
df15
t1.57
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.05
Sortino ratio3.44
Upside Potential Ratio4.97
Upside part of mean0.35
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms7
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error14
t(b)0.80
p(b)0.40
t(a)0.83
p(a)0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.56
Treynor index (mean / b)0.91
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
Mean0.22
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.24
df15
t1.51
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.99
Sortino ratio3.12
Upside Potential Ratio4.64
Upside part of mean0.34
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms7
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.29
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error14
t(b)0.86
p(b)0.39
t(a)0.75
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.53
Treynor index (mean / b)0.77
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.25
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.06
df355
t2.41
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.75
Sortino ratio3.60
Upside Potential Ratio10.97
Upside part of mean0.75
Downside part of mean-0.51
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms160
N negative terms196
N of observations356
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error354
t(b)3.58
p(b)0.00
t(a)2.01
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.40
Treynor index (mean / b)1.74
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
Mean0.24
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.01
df355
t2.35
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.70
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.70
Sortino ratio3.47
Upside Potential Ratio10.83
Upside part of mean0.75
Downside part of mean-0.51
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms160
N negative terms196
N of observations356
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error354
t(b)3.65
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.96
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.40
Treynor index (mean / b)1.65
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.62
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)4.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)4.41
df130
t3.14
p0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio7.25
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation7.23
Sortino ratio8.74
Upside Potential Ratio16.84
Upside part of mean1.20
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms80
N negative terms51
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.62
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.01
r0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.54
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)4.63
p(b)0.27
t(a)2.95
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.91
Treynor index (mean / b)1.66
Jensen alpha (a)0.54
Mean0.61
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)4.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)4.36
df130
t3.10
p0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio7.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation7.18
Sortino ratio8.55
Upside Potential Ratio16.64
Upside part of mean1.19
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms80
N negative terms51
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.61
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.01
r0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.54
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)4.64
p(b)0.27
t(a)2.93
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.21
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.90
Treynor index (mean / b)1.64
Jensen alpha (a)0.54
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations16
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-13.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.41
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations356
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low15
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high24
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.15
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.03
Median0.03
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations23
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.29
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations16
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.09
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-394351968
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)56
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.30
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.29
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.17
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs4.17
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.59
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.32
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.31
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.79
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs6.20
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal21.72
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.75
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.89
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)14.60
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs27.90
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal58.46

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
CCL long200Aug 14, 2026Aug 19, 2026($364)
BAC long100Jan 29, 2026Aug 14, 2026$1,145
ABT long80Sep 18, 2025Aug 3, 2026($1,052)
AMD long48Jan 12, 2026May 28, 2026$14,945
FIS long80Jan 12, 2026Jan 14, 2026($244)
MDT long100Aug 20, 2025Nov 25, 2025$1,158
AMD long30Sep 30, 2025Oct 9, 2025$2,143
TSLA long30Sep 9, 2025Sep 25, 2025$2,471
XOM long100Aug 20, 2025Sep 2, 2025$710
MES U5long10Jun 11, 2025Jun 24, 2025($37)
MES M5short5May 5, 2025May 5, 2025($256)
MES M5long5Apr 28, 2025Apr 30, 2025($181)
MES M5short5Apr 23, 2025Apr 23, 2025($500)
MES M5short10Apr 16, 2025Apr 17, 2025$1,344
MES M5short5Apr 15, 2025Apr 15, 2025($356)
MES M5short5Apr 11, 2025Apr 11, 2025($506)
MES M5long5Apr 11, 2025Apr 11, 2025($469)
MES M5short5Apr 9, 2025Apr 9, 2025($744)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.