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Multibagger Stocks

Equity · Stocks · Started Apr 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
85.0%
Max Drawdown
40.1%
Trades
172
Win Trades
74.4%
Profit Factor
2.30
Win Months
41.2%
Subscribe Full access for $20/month

Sector: Technology

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-0.4-14.853.1-14.021.0-0.8-0.8-0.8-0.831.0
2026-0.83.325.0-0.554.94.2-28.120.878.7

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/9/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$5,000
Age17 months
C2 RankTop 6.5%
What it tradesStocks
# Trades172
# Profitable128
% Profitable74.4%
Avg trade duration7.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown40.1%
drawdown periodJuly 24, 2025 - Aug 20, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)85.0%
Avg win$109
Avg loss$148

Ratios

W:L ratio2.29
Sharpe Ratio1.20
Sortino Ratio1.91
Calmar Ratio2.94

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.19
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life40.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)93.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)85.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.8%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)99.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity17.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss58.0%
Chance of 20% account loss29.5%
Chance of 30% account loss8.0%
Chance of 40% account loss2.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)609
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)896
C2 Score935
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)684

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$148
Avg Win$109
# Winners128
Sum Trade PL (losers)$6,512
Sum Trade PL (winners)$13,903
Num Months Winners8
# Losers44
% Winners74.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct497

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table17

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)10227.43
Avg Position Time (hrs)170.46
Avg Trade Length7.10
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.88
Daily leverage (max)5.90

Regression

Alpha0.15
Beta0.71
Treynor Index0.28

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.04
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.61
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)5.88
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats71.25
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats97.14
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.01
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.73
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.24

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.79
SD0.67
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.11
df15
t1.36
p0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.86
Sortino ratio2.58
Upside Potential Ratio3.84
Upside part of mean1.17
Downside part of mean-0.38
Upside SD0.62
Downside SD0.31
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms8
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.25
Mean of criterion0.79
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.67
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.71
Mean Square Error0.48
DF error14
t(b)0.17
p(b)0.48
t(a)0.95
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.31
Treynor index (mean / b)2.54
Jensen alpha (a)0.71
Mean0.58
SD0.63
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df15
t1.06
p0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.59
Sortino ratio1.62
Upside Potential Ratio2.85
Upside part of mean1.02
Downside part of mean-0.44
Upside SD0.52
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms8
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.58
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.63
Covariance0.00
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.51
Mean Square Error0.43
DF error14
t(b)0.16
p(b)0.48
t(a)0.73
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.01
Treynor index (mean / b)2.11
Jensen alpha (a)0.51
VaR(95%)0.22
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.28
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.16
Mean0.77
SD0.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.62
df354
t1.89
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.31
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.31
Sortino ratio2.62
Upside Potential Ratio7.67
Upside part of mean2.25
Downside part of mean-1.48
Upside SD0.37
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms112
N negative terms243
N of observations355
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.77
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.47
Covariance0.01
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.62
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.62
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error353
t(b)3.39
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.55
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.42
Treynor index (mean / b)1.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.62
Mean0.66
SD0.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.39
df354
t1.62
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.08
Sortino ratio2.13
Upside Potential Ratio7.08
Upside part of mean2.18
Downside part of mean-1.53
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0.31
N nonnegative terms112
N negative terms243
N of observations355
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.66
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.47
Covariance0.01
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.51
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error353
t(b)3.49
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.28
p(a)0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.30
Treynor index (mean / b)1.03
Jensen alpha (a)0.51
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean1.26
SD0.52
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.42
df130
t1.72
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.21
Sortino ratio4.19
Upside Potential Ratio11.06
Upside part of mean3.32
Downside part of mean-2.06
Upside SD0.42
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion1.26
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.52
Covariance0.02
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.89
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.07
Mean Square Error0.25
DF error129
t(b)2.87
p(b)0.35
t(a)1.51
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.48
Treynor index (mean / b)1.41
Jensen alpha (a)1.07
Mean1.12
SD0.51
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.20
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.19
df130
t1.56
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.97
Sortino ratio3.62
Upside Potential Ratio10.41
Upside part of mean3.23
Downside part of mean-2.11
Upside SD0.41
Downside SD0.31
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion1.12
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.51
Covariance0.02
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.90
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.95
Mean Square Error0.25
DF error129
t(b)2.91
p(b)0.34
t(a)1.34
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.34
Treynor index (mean / b)1.25
Jensen alpha (a)0.95
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations16
Minimum0.69
Quartile 11
Median1.00
Quartile 31.19
Maximum1.52
Mean of quarter 10.88
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.07
Mean of quarter 41.33
Inter Quartile Range0.19
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.69
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.52
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.51
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.64
Number of observations355
Minimum0.84
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.16
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low58
Percentage of outliers low0.16
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high67
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.23
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.34
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations131
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low6
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.10
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.30
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.18
Quartile 10.21
Median0.25
Quartile 30.28
Maximum0.31
Mean of quarter 10.18
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.31
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations17
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.33
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.22
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high0.27
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.24
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.33
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.21
Number of observations8
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.32
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.32
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-466586304
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)27
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.93
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.83
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.71
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.71
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.99
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.98
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.94
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs4.43
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal17.56
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.56
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.16
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.80
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.14
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal36.73

Trading record

Placed 345 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
CBRS long100Aug 13, 2026Aug 13, 2026$198
CHPY long100Aug 10, 2026Aug 13, 2026$162
DGXX long600Jul 22, 2026Aug 12, 2026($42)
IBM long9Jul 2, 2026Aug 11, 2026($114)
TSM long6Jul 1, 2026Aug 10, 2026($39)
PENG long42Jul 22, 2026Aug 3, 2026$7
ORCL long16Jun 29, 2026Aug 3, 2026$49
KXIAY long100Jul 28, 2026Aug 3, 2026$618
AZIO long700Jul 22, 2026Jul 30, 2026($124)
BFLY long165Jul 15, 2026Jul 28, 2026($60)
NFLX long16Jul 13, 2026Jul 28, 2026($23)
AGPU long200Jul 22, 2026Jul 28, 2026$59
MBAI long1200Jul 22, 2026Jul 27, 2026$89
LLY long1Jul 1, 2026Jul 23, 2026($0)
MU long4Jun 29, 2026Jul 23, 2026$10
CRDO long10Jul 13, 2026Jul 21, 2026$24
SKHY long8Jul 16, 2026Jul 21, 2026$68
CBRS long13Jul 14, 2026Jul 21, 2026$126
GOOG long4Jul 1, 2026Jul 15, 2026$23
CBRS short7Jul 14, 2026Jul 14, 2026($9)
AMZN long5Jul 1, 2026Jul 14, 2026$13
CSCO long11Jul 1, 2026Jul 14, 2026$32
DELL long3Jul 13, 2026Jul 14, 2026$54
NVDA long7Jun 29, 2026Jul 14, 2026$71
META long2Jul 1, 2026Jul 14, 2026$75
HPE long28Jul 1, 2026Jul 14, 2026$160
APLD long40Jul 8, 2026Jul 9, 2026$51
GIW long300Jun 29, 2026Jul 8, 2026$1
FRVO long50Jul 7, 2026Jul 8, 2026$34
CBRS long20Jun 24, 2026Jun 29, 2026$156

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.