Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

MacroFlow Strategy

Stocks · Started Jun 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
24.2%
Max Drawdown
25.9%
Trades
103
Win Trades
52.4%
Profit Factor
2.10
Win Months
73.3%
Subscribe Full access for $100/month

About this strategy

I develop systematic trading strategies focused on capturing global liquidity flows using disciplined Volume–Price analytics. Through MacroFlow Holdings, I design, test, and deploy quantitative models that adapt to macro market cycles across NASDAQ. My approach blends data-driven precision with risk-managed, medium-term holding structures.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20251.5-5.79.013.50.41.53.124.4
202610.911.1-17.39.314.4-3.6-19.04.13.6

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/10/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age15 months
C2 Rank369
What it tradesStocks
# Trades103
# Profitable54
% Profitable52.4%
Avg trade duration96.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown25.9%
drawdown periodJune 02, 2026 - July 29, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)24.2%
Avg win$196
Avg loss$110

Ratios

W:L ratio2.06
Sharpe Ratio0.74
Sortino Ratio1.05
Calmar Ratio1.50

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.51
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life27.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)3.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)24.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)33.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity25.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.2%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss63.5%
Chance of 20% account loss26.5%
Chance of 30% account loss11.0%
Chance of 40% account loss2.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)739
C2 Score369
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)521

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$110
Avg Win$195
# Winners54
Sum Trade PL (losers)$5,407
Sum Trade PL (winners)$10,529
Num Months Winners11
# Losers49
% Winners52.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct258

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table15

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)139560.11
Avg Position Time (hrs)2326
Avg Trade Length96.90
Last Trade Ago11

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.87
Daily leverage (max)1.49

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta1.05
Treynor Index0.06

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.69
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.44
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats70.41
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats43.33
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.25
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.21
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.47

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.31
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.07
df13
t1.23
p0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.93
Sortino ratio2.39
Upside Potential Ratio4.19
Upside part of mean0.54
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms6
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.09
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.01
r0.48
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.51
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error12
t(b)1.89
p(b)0.26
t(a)0.05
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.62
Treynor index (mean / b)0.20
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
Mean0.27
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.96
df13
t1.11
p0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.89
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.82
Sortino ratio2.01
Upside Potential Ratio3.79
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.24
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms6
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.01
r0.47
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.48
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error12
t(b)1.85
p(b)0.26
t(a)-0.04
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)0.18
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean0.29
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.17
df312
t1.29
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.62
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.97
Sortino ratio1.74
Upside Potential Ratio9.80
Upside part of mean1.63
Downside part of mean-1.34
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms172
N negative terms141
N of observations313
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.02
r0.49
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.99
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error311
t(b)10.03
p(b)0
t(a)0.57
p(a)0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.50
Treynor index (mean / b)0.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.26
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.05
df312
t1.15
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.85
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.74
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.85
Sortino ratio1.54
Upside Potential Ratio9.56
Upside part of mean1.62
Downside part of mean-1.36
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms172
N negative terms141
N of observations313
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.02
r0.50
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.99
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error311
t(b)10.05
p(b)0
t(a)0.45
p(a)0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.48
Treynor index (mean / b)0.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.09
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.35
df130
t-0.25
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.42
Sortino ratio-0.49
Upside Potential Ratio8.20
Upside part of mean1.55
Downside part of mean-1.64
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms68
N negative terms63
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.55
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.31
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error129
t(b)7.42
p(b)0.17
t(a)-0.99
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.31
Mean-0.13
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.48
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.48
df130
t-0.34
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.29
Sortino ratio-0.66
Upside Potential Ratio7.99
Upside part of mean1.53
Downside part of mean-1.66
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms68
N negative terms63
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-0.13
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.55
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.33
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error129
t(b)7.47
p(b)0.17
t(a)-1.08
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.75
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.12
Jensen alpha (a)-0.33
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations14
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.97
Median1.02
Quartile 31.09
Maximum1.16
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.13
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.17
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.15
Number of observations313
Minimum0.95
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.23
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.95
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.25
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.04
Median0.05
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations26
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.22
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high0.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.50
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.20
Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.16
Maximum0.22
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.21
Inter Quartile Range0.15
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-409076032
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)57
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.36
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.35
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.57
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.57
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.77
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.33
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.50
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.94
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.12
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.42
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.46
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.83

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
DNLI long30Feb 19, 2026Aug 17, 2026$143
LBRT long24Feb 19, 2026Aug 17, 2026($122)
GTX long30Nov 14, 2025Aug 17, 2026$358
UNIT long46Apr 23, 2026Aug 17, 2026($88)
OUT long30Apr 13, 2026Aug 17, 2026$31
PTEN long60Apr 13, 2026Jul 16, 2026($32)
LUNR long27Jan 8, 2026Jul 16, 2026($140)
CC long32Mar 2, 2026Jul 16, 2026($5)
KOPN long100May 18, 2026Jun 25, 2026($139)
VALE long38Feb 2, 2026Jun 18, 2026($28)
HP long19Nov 14, 2025Jun 18, 2026$168
ERO long19Dec 12, 2025Jun 8, 2026$4
GERN long350Apr 13, 2026Jun 2, 2026($165)
NXE long57Oct 9, 2025May 26, 2026$114
DBRG long33Jan 5, 2026May 11, 2026$10
FOLD long54Nov 14, 2025Apr 27, 2026$283
BTU long16Oct 9, 2025Apr 2, 2026$19
SBSW long44Oct 9, 2025Mar 27, 2026($19)
NEOG long60Jan 20, 2026Mar 23, 2026($14)
TAC long28Oct 30, 2025Mar 23, 2026($161)
HUN long46Feb 19, 2026Mar 23, 2026($112)
COMP long47Dec 12, 2025Mar 16, 2026($117)
M long28Oct 9, 2025Feb 13, 2026$119
UPWK long22Dec 12, 2025Feb 13, 2026($191)
UMC long59Feb 2, 2026Feb 6, 2026$16
CNTA long18Dec 12, 2025Jan 8, 2026($78)
PBF long17Oct 9, 2025Jan 8, 2026($15)
BZ long21Oct 9, 2025Jan 5, 2026($55)
XPEV long23Nov 28, 2025Dec 12, 2025($47)
ENVX long42Oct 30, 2025Nov 14, 2025($161)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.