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C22025-ADELINO

Stocks · Started Jul 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
107.3%
Max Drawdown
32.9%
Trades
40
Win Trades
70.0%
Profit Factor
2.40
Win Months
57.1%
Subscribe Full access for $50/month

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-2.33.817.83.6-11.812.222.3
20267.4-4.7-11.9107.118.7-10.4-11.17.589.7

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/2/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$5,000
Age14 months
C2 Rank396
What it tradesStocks
# Trades40
# Profitable28
% Profitable70.0%
Avg trade duration135.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown32.9%
drawdown periodJune 02, 2026 - July 29, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)107.3%
Avg win$3,394
Avg loss$3,403

Ratios

W:L ratio2.36
Sharpe Ratio1.21
Sortino Ratio3.08
Calmar Ratio4.32

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.29
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life23.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)109.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)107.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)1.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)110.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity22.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss54.0%
Chance of 20% account loss20.5%
Chance of 30% account loss7.5%
Chance of 40% account loss1.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)913
C2 Score396
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)637

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$3,402
Avg Win$3,845
# Winners28
Sum Trade PL (losers)$40,830
Sum Trade PL (winners)$107,669
Num Months Winners8
# Losers12
% Winners70.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct499

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table14

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)194412.25
Avg Position Time (hrs)3240.20
Avg Trade Length135
Last Trade Ago14

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.29
Daily leverage (max)3.11

Regression

Alpha0.18
Beta1.46
Treynor Index0.17

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.27
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.49
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.56
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.42
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.62

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.26
SD1.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.08
df12
t1.20
p0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.85
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.01
Sortino ratio6.71
Upside Potential Ratio8.27
Upside part of mean1.55
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD1.09
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms4
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion1.26
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion1.09
Covariance0.12
r0.89
b (slope, estimate of beta)8.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.18
Mean Square Error0.26
DF error11
t(b)6.62
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.34
p(a)0.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta10.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.99
Treynor index (mean / b)0.15
Jensen alpha (a)-0.18
Mean0.87
SD0.77
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.07
df12
t1.19
p0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.00
Sortino ratio4.36
Upside Potential Ratio5.90
Upside part of mean1.18
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.75
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms4
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.87
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.77
Covariance0.08
r0.89
b (slope, estimate of beta)5.94
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error11
t(b)6.38
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.34
p(a)0.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.72
Treynor index (mean / b)0.15
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
VaR(95%)0.25
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.32
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean0.92
SD0.62
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.48
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.47
df295
t1.57
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.32
Sortino ratio3.80
Upside Potential Ratio11.88
Upside part of mean2.87
Downside part of mean-1.95
Upside SD0.57
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms153
N negative terms143
N of observations296
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.92
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.62
Covariance0.02
r0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.42
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.69
Mean Square Error0.36
DF error294
t(b)5.12
p(b)0
t(a)1.22
p(a)0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.79
Treynor index (mean / b)0.65
Jensen alpha (a)0.69
Mean0.75
SD0.55
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.35
df295
t1.44
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.20
Sortino ratio3.05
Upside Potential Ratio11.07
Upside part of mean2.73
Downside part of mean-1.98
Upside SD0.50
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms153
N negative terms143
N of observations296
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.75
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.55
Covariance0.02
r0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.53
Mean Square Error0.28
DF error294
t(b)5.85
p(b)0
t(a)1.07
p(a)0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.51
Treynor index (mean / b)0.53
Jensen alpha (a)0.53
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean1.62
SD0.88
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.85
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.83
df130
t1.31
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.95
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.62
Sortino ratio5.50
Upside Potential Ratio14.31
Upside part of mean4.22
Downside part of mean-2.60
Upside SD0.83
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms67
N negative terms64
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion1.62
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.88
Covariance0.03
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.32
Mean Square Error0.73
DF error129
t(b)3.11
p(b)0.33
t(a)1.09
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.71
Treynor index (mean / b)0.99
Jensen alpha (a)1.32
Mean1.30
SD0.77
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.68
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.67
df130
t1.19
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.46
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.45
Sortino ratio4.30
Upside Potential Ratio13.05
Upside part of mean3.94
Downside part of mean-2.64
Upside SD0.71
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms67
N negative terms64
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion1.30
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.77
Covariance0.03
r0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.66
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.00
Mean Square Error0.54
DF error129
t(b)3.62
p(b)0.31
t(a)0.96
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.75
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.08
Treynor index (mean / b)0.78
Jensen alpha (a)1.00
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations13
Minimum0.85
Quartile 10.99
Median1.03
Quartile 31.09
Maximum2.10
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 21.02
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.49
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high2.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.45
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.15
Number of observations296
Minimum0.92
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.49
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.21
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.92
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.49
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.28
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.10
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.07
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.12
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations16
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.27
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.21
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.78
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.24
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.27
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.29
Number of observations8
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.16
Maximum0.27
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.23
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-427496992
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)57
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.53
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.46
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)9.85
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs9.85
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.62
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.18
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.32
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.62
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal18.07
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.88
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.77
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.12
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs12.01
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal31.08

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
REAX long2250Apr 29, 2026Aug 11, 2026($185)
MAN short100Jul 16, 2026Aug 11, 2026($429)
GRPN long1100May 1, 2026Aug 11, 2026$9,618
THRM short100Jul 24, 2026Aug 4, 2026$507
INTC short100May 4, 2026Jul 29, 2026$1,045
VPG short200May 14, 2026Jul 16, 2026$2,438
MXL short150Apr 30, 2026Jul 14, 2026($3,209)
VRNS long145Oct 29, 2025Jun 26, 2026$522
NVTS short1160May 4, 2026May 28, 2026($5,170)
IBM long70Feb 12, 2026May 27, 2026$678
BRK.B long11Aug 1, 2025May 19, 2026$149
LMT long12Jul 22, 2025May 7, 2026$1,069
INTC long60Apr 29, 2026May 4, 2026$782
CAR short100Apr 22, 2026Apr 24, 2026$53,957
NVDA long30Jul 24, 2025Feb 12, 2026$593
LRN long66Oct 29, 2025Jan 28, 2026$658
MDCKF long109Sep 23, 2025Jan 12, 2026$58
VWAV long367Oct 28, 2025Jan 12, 2026$283
IBM long36Jul 16, 2025Oct 10, 2025$564

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.