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QV Day Trader

Futures · Started Nov 2025

Trades Own Strategy

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
30.4%
Max Drawdown
28.5%
Trades
217
Win Trades
37.8%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
70.0%
Subscribe Full access for $149/month

About this strategy

a day trading system with 2 subcomponents. No overnight positions

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20250.3-3.5-3.1
2026-20.812.78.315.69.25.5-6.411.734.7

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/10/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$60,000
Age10 months
C2 RankTop 8.6%
What it tradesFutures
# Trades217
# Profitable82
% Profitable37.8%
Avg trade duration2.2 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown28.5%
drawdown periodNov 17, 2025 - Feb 03, 2026
Cumul. Return30.4%
Avg win$1,378
Avg loss$707

Ratios

W:L ratio1.18
Sharpe Ratio0.91
Sortino Ratio1.53
Calmar Ratio1.74

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.12
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life12.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)18.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)39.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status4.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)46.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss43.0%
Chance of 20% account loss17.0%
Chance of 30% account loss2.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.4%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)884
C2 Score914
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)615

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187635
TOS percent25.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$707
Avg Win$1,378
# Winners82
Sum Trade PL (losers)$95,462
Sum Trade PL (winners)$112,997
Num Months Winners7
# Losers135
% Winners37.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table10

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)132.75
Avg Position Time (hrs)2.21
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago3

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)6.38
Daily leverage (max)13.59

Regression

Alpha0.09
Beta0.30
Treynor Index0.32

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-20.13
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.80
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats40.41
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats37.14
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.31
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.29
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.05

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.45
SD0.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.01
df8
t0.97
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.33
Sortino ratio2.93
Upside Potential Ratio5.23
Upside part of mean0.81
Downside part of mean-0.36
Upside SD0.37
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms4
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.45
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.40
Covariance0.04
r0.87
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error7
t(b)4.64
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.07
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.61
Treynor index (mean / b)0.15
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
Mean0.38
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.89
df8
t0.86
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.27
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.41
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.20
Sortino ratio2.37
Upside Potential Ratio4.67
Upside part of mean0.75
Downside part of mean-0.37
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms4
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.38
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.04
r0.86
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.94
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error7
t(b)4.41
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.20
p(a)0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)0.13
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
VaR(95%)0.14
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.18
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
Mean0.39
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.23
df201
t1.09
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.47
Sortino ratio2.09
Upside Potential Ratio10.64
Upside part of mean2.01
Downside part of mean-1.62
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms86
N negative terms116
N of observations202
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.39
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.00
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.36
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error200
t(b)1.47
p(b)0.45
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.08
Treynor index (mean / b)1.59
Jensen alpha (a)0.36
Mean0.34
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.08
df201
t0.96
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.15
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.32
Sortino ratio1.79
Upside Potential Ratio10.31
Upside part of mean1.98
Downside part of mean-1.64
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms86
N negative terms116
N of observations202
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.34
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.00
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.31
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error200
t(b)1.44
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.87
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.02
Treynor index (mean / b)1.43
Jensen alpha (a)0.31
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.93
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.98
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.96
df130
t2.11
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.77
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.17
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.76
Sortino ratio5.85
Upside Potential Ratio14.36
Upside part of mean2.28
Downside part of mean-1.35
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms59
N negative terms72
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.93
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance0.01
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.46
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.84
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error129
t(b)2.41
p(b)0.37
t(a)1.92
p(a)0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.70
Treynor index (mean / b)2.03
Jensen alpha (a)0.84
Mean0.88
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.84
df130
t2.02
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.63
Sortino ratio5.48
Upside Potential Ratio13.96
Upside part of mean2.25
Downside part of mean-1.37
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms59
N negative terms72
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.88
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.79
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error129
t(b)2.37
p(b)0.37
t(a)1.84
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.65
Treynor index (mean / b)1.97
Jensen alpha (a)0.79
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.93
Quartile 10.94
Median1.01
Quartile 31.11
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 20.97
Mean of quarter 31.11
Mean of quarter 41.20
Inter Quartile Range0.17
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.32
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.69
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations202
Minimum0.95
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.00
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.05
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.06
Quartile 10.09
Median0.12
Quartile 30.15
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.06
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.26
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.20
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high0.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-6.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.54
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.30
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.35
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.14
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.13
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-404255584
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)78
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.47
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.50
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.80
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.80
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.83
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.43
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.45
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.23
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.80
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.15
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.48
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.22
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs16.10
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal41.99

Trading record

Placed 178 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MNQ U6long4Aug 20, 2026Aug 20, 2026($262)
MNQ U6long4Aug 18, 2026Aug 18, 2026($591)
MNQ U6long4Aug 18, 2026Aug 18, 2026($655)
MNQ U6long4Aug 14, 2026Aug 14, 2026$456
MNQ U6long4Aug 13, 2026Aug 13, 2026$1,858
MNQ U6long4Aug 12, 2026Aug 12, 2026($366)
MNQ U6long12Aug 12, 2026Aug 12, 2026($1,415)
MNQ U6long4Aug 11, 2026Aug 11, 2026($417)
MNQ U6long4Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026$1,189
MNQ U6long4Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($372)
MNQ U6long4Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026$268
MNQ U6long4Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($380)
MNQ U6long4Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($729)
MNQ U6long4Aug 5, 2026Aug 5, 2026($331)
MNQ U6long8Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$7,809
MNQ U6long12Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026$928
MNQ U6long4Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026($314)
MNQ U6long4Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026($455)
MNQ U6long8Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026($2,546)
MNQ U6long8Jul 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026($88)
MNQ U6long4Jul 29, 2026Jul 29, 2026($1,082)
MNQ U6long4Jul 27, 2026Jul 27, 2026$1,432
MNQ U6short4Jul 24, 2026Jul 24, 2026$537
MNQ U6long4Jul 23, 2026Jul 23, 2026$1,780
MNQ U6long4Jul 23, 2026Jul 23, 2026($380)
MNQ U6long4Jul 22, 2026Jul 22, 2026($527)
MNQ U6long8Jul 21, 2026Jul 21, 2026$340
MNQ U6long4Jul 20, 2026Jul 20, 2026($685)
MNQ U6long4Jul 20, 2026Jul 20, 2026($1,110)
MNQ U6long4Jul 17, 2026Jul 17, 2026$2,053

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.