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Selective Edge

Equity · Stocks, Options · Started Dec 2025

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
45.5%
Max Drawdown
8.6%
Trades
235
Win Trades
78.3%
Profit Factor
4.20
Win Months
66.7%
Subscribe Full access for $30/month

About this strategy

The best investments don't manifest immediately. They are built at the intersection of a sound thesis, patience, and disciplined execution.

Our portfolio is anchored in long-term conviction plays — companies selected through rigorous fundamental analysis and validated by sector trends with multi-year structural momentum. We don't look for quarterly catalysts; we look for companies whose competitive advantage compounds in value over time.
Between accumulation and maturity phases, we activate a calibration layer through options: covered calls on portfolio holdings for incremental yield, and cash-secured puts on watchlist candidates to acquire exposure at optimal prices — collecting premium in both outcomes. The result is a strategy that actively generates income from volatility premiums while building structural capital appreciation.
Every decision — whether an entry, a written option, or a deliberate wait — flows from the same coherent investment vision.

Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202511.011.0
2026-1.1-1.80.87.112.3-5.810.56.230.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/19/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age8 months
C2 RankTop 8.6%
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades235
# Profitable184
% Profitable78.3%
Avg trade duration50.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown8.6%
drawdown periodJune 01, 2026 - June 22, 2026
Cumul. Return45.5%
Avg win$326
Avg loss$282

Ratios

W:L ratio4.24
Sharpe Ratio1.96
Sortino Ratio3.54
Calmar Ratio9.92

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.17
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life12.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)33.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)72.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.5%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)75.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.7%
Short Options - Percent Covered20.1%
Percent Trades Stocks0.3%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss2.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)679
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)957
C2 Score914
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)921

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187413
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$282
Avg Win$326
# Winners184
Sum Trade PL (losers)$14,363
Sum Trade PL (winners)$60,063
Num Months Winners6
# Losers51
% Winners78.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct837

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table9

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)72922.68
Avg Position Time (hrs)1215.38
Avg Trade Length50.60
Last Trade Ago2

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.42
Daily leverage (max)1.79

Regression

Alpha0.14
Beta0.30
Treynor Index0.51

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.47
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.66
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.61
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.58
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.72

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.57
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.65
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.30
df6
t2.03
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.18
Sortino ratio14.23
Upside Potential Ratio16.29
Upside part of mean0.65
Downside part of mean-0.08
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms3
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.57
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.02
r0.56
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.85
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.43
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error5
t(b)1.50
p(b)0.10
t(a)1.58
p(a)0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.13
Treynor index (mean / b)0.67
Jensen alpha (a)0.43
Mean0.54
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.27
df6
t2.00
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.14
Sortino ratio13.31
Upside Potential Ratio15.36
Upside part of mean0.62
Downside part of mean-0.08
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms3
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.54
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.02
r0.58
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.87
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.41
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error5
t(b)1.59
p(b)0.09
t(a)1.59
p(a)0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.06
Treynor index (mean / b)0.62
Jensen alpha (a)0.41
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.60
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.43
df166
t1.95
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.91
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.90
Sortino ratio4.44
Upside Potential Ratio12.09
Upside part of mean1.62
Downside part of mean-1.03
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms99
N negative terms68
N of observations167
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.60
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.01
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.54
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error165
t(b)2.41
p(b)0.38
t(a)1.80
p(a)0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.14
Treynor index (mean / b)1.83
Jensen alpha (a)0.54
Mean0.57
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.35
df166
t1.89
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.82
Sortino ratio4.17
Upside Potential Ratio11.80
Upside part of mean1.60
Downside part of mean-1.04
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms99
N negative terms68
N of observations167
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.57
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.01
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.52
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error165
t(b)2.46
p(b)0.38
t(a)1.74
p(a)0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.10
Treynor index (mean / b)1.73
Jensen alpha (a)0.52
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.62
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.01
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.99
df130
t2.13
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.78
Sortino ratio4.59
Upside Potential Ratio12.23
Upside part of mean1.66
Downside part of mean-1.04
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms79
N negative terms52
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.62
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.29
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.57
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)2.32
p(b)0.37
t(a)1.97
p(a)0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.14
Treynor index (mean / b)2.18
Jensen alpha (a)0.57
Mean0.60
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.88
df130
t2.05
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.67
Sortino ratio4.38
Upside Potential Ratio12.00
Upside part of mean1.65
Downside part of mean-1.05
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms79
N negative terms52
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.60
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.29
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.55
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)2.31
p(b)0.37
t(a)1.91
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.12
Treynor index (mean / b)2.11
Jensen alpha (a)0.55
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.98
Quartile 10.99
Median1.07
Quartile 31.10
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.09
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations167
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.14
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.92
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.50
Number of observations16
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.78
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.22
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-431844384
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)21
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.67
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.76
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)20.33
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs20.33
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.23
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.72
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.81
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)9.92
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs14.50
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal28.99
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.74
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.88
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.71
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs16.14
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal36.73

Trading record

Placed 472 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
CTSH2621H60 short1Jul 28, 2026Aug 22, 2026$59
GFS2621T45 short2Jul 30, 2026Aug 22, 2026$485
QCOM2621T140 short1Jul 2, 2026Aug 22, 2026$439
CPRT2621T27.5 short2Jul 20, 2026Aug 22, 2026$189
NEM2621T89 short1Jul 30, 2026Aug 22, 2026$126
CART2621T40 short1Jul 13, 2026Aug 22, 2026$75
LRN2621T70 short1Jul 30, 2026Aug 22, 2026$177
STRA2621T70 short1Jul 15, 2026Aug 22, 2026$134
NVO2621T45 short1Jul 13, 2026Aug 22, 2026$115
DRS2621T41 long1Aug 21, 2026Aug 22, 2026($67)
HUBS2621T140 short1Jul 13, 2026Aug 22, 2026$150
YELP2621H31 short2Jul 7, 2026Aug 22, 2026$132
NFLX2621T63 short1Jul 17, 2026Aug 22, 2026$101
CTSH2621T47.5 short1Jul 13, 2026Aug 22, 2026$523
ZM2621T80 short1Jul 13, 2026Aug 22, 2026$153
DXCM2621T65 short1Jul 17, 2026Aug 22, 2026$121
DT2621H47.5 short1Jul 17, 2026Aug 22, 2026$234
DT2621T37.5 short2Jul 13, 2026Aug 22, 2026$194
PYPL2621T50 short1Jul 13, 2026Aug 22, 2026$412
PATH2621T9 short5Jul 22, 2026Aug 22, 2026$106
LOGI2621T85 short1Jul 2, 2026Aug 21, 2026$224
WSE2621T12.5 short2Jul 14, 2026Aug 21, 2026$119
CART2621H50 short1Jul 17, 2026Aug 21, 2026$148
NXT2621T75 short1Jul 31, 2026Aug 21, 2026$134
DECK2621T90 short1Jul 2, 2026Aug 21, 2026$211
NFLX long40Jul 17, 2026Aug 19, 2026$413
TTD2621T16 short4Jul 28, 2026Aug 13, 2026($541)
TW long30Jul 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026$82
DT2617G45 short1Jun 26, 2026Jul 17, 2026$84
CART2617G50 short1Jun 26, 2026Jul 17, 2026$87

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.