Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Fenix trading

Futures · Futures · Started Jan 2026

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
12.4%
Max Drawdown
8.3%
Trades
51
Win Trades
47.1%
Profit Factor
1.50
Win Months
62.5%
Subscribe Full access for $30/month

About this strategy

This is an algorithmic strategy with backtest since the year 2000. In these yaers, the strategy has shown greats results, with a metric of 1,74 profit factor; 16,31 ratio return/DD or almost 65% profitable trades. I operate with my real money because I trust in what I'm doing and I want to help others to gain in the markets.

As the strategy is young, this is a discounted price for the people who trust in me. However, in the future this price wil raise and never will come back to 30$

Commodities Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20262.77.05.7-0.43.3-5.2-1.50.712.4

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/15/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,000
Age7 months
C2 RankTop 8.6%
What it tradesFutures
# Trades51
# Profitable24
% Profitable47.1%
Avg trade duration1.2 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown8.3%
drawdown periodMay 06, 2026 - July 08, 2026
Cumul. Return12.4%
Avg win$433
Avg loss$249

Ratios

W:L ratio1.55
Sharpe Ratio1.22
Sortino Ratio2.36
Calmar Ratio4.86

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.21
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life10.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)1.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)21.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)25.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity7.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.5%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss4.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)453
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)826
C2 Score914
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)615

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187455
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$249
Avg Win$433
# Winners24
Sum Trade PL (losers)$6,722
Sum Trade PL (winners)$10,397
Num Months Winners5
# Losers27
% Winners47.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table8

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1691.88
Avg Position Time (hrs)28.20
Avg Trade Length1.20
Last Trade Ago4

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.29
Daily leverage (max)3.29

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta0.20
Treynor Index0.26

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.56
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-3.61
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.35
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.84
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.22

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.25
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.36
df5
t1.14
p0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.25
Sortino ratio4.05
Upside Potential Ratio5.75
Upside part of mean0.36
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms2
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance-0.01
r-0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.20
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.29
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error4
t(b)-0.54
p(b)0.69
t(a)1.17
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.98
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.27
Jensen alpha (a)0.29
Mean0.24
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.56
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.31
df5
t1.11
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.20
Sortino ratio3.77
Upside Potential Ratio5.46
Upside part of mean0.35
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms2
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance-0.01
r-0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error4
t(b)-0.52
p(b)0.69
t(a)1.13
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.95
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.25
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.87
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.86
df134
t1.35
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.88
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.60
Sortino ratio3.63
Upside Potential Ratio10.82
Upside part of mean0.74
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms49
N negative terms86
N of observations135
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error133
t(b)2.04
p(b)0.39
t(a)1.20
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)1.56
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
Mean0.24
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.82
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.81
df134
t1.31
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.56
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.55
Sortino ratio3.48
Upside Potential Ratio10.67
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms49
N negative terms86
N of observations135
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.21
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error133
t(b)2.05
p(b)0.39
t(a)1.17
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)1.50
Jensen alpha (a)0.21
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.23
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.71
df130
t1.21
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.49
Sortino ratio3.30
Upside Potential Ratio10.59
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-0.50
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms48
N negative terms83
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)1.88
p(b)0.40
t(a)1.06
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)1.51
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
Mean0.22
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.65
df130
t1.18
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.44
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.43
Sortino ratio3.15
Upside Potential Ratio10.44
Upside part of mean0.72
Downside part of mean-0.51
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms48
N negative terms83
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)1.90
p(b)0.40
t(a)1.03
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.56
Treynor index (mean / b)1.44
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.02
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.02
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations135
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high24
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low14
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high23
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.05
Quartile 10.05
Median0.05
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.48
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.48
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-497672704
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)63
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.30
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.40
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.47
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.29
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.30
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.86
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs6.10
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal19.49
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.26
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.28
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.46
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal17.71

Trading record

Placed 89 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MES U6long1Aug 18, 2026Aug 19, 2026$116
MES U6long1Aug 10, 2026Aug 16, 2026$151
QMGC Q6long1Jul 7, 2026Jul 8, 2026($371)
MES U6long1Jun 22, 2026Jun 23, 2026($304)
QMNG N6short2Jun 18, 2026Jun 19, 2026($109)
QMNG N6short2Jun 11, 2026Jun 12, 2026$170
QMGC Q6long1Jun 9, 2026Jun 10, 2026($1,132)
QMNG N6short2Jun 4, 2026Jun 5, 2026($103)
QMNG N6long1May 28, 2026May 28, 2026($4)
MNQ M6long1May 26, 2026May 27, 2026$578
QMNG M6short1May 21, 2026May 22, 2026$35
MNQ M6long1May 15, 2026May 21, 2026($64)
QMCL M6short1May 18, 2026May 18, 2026($128)
QMNG M6short1May 14, 2026May 15, 2026($84)
QMGC M6long1May 12, 2026May 13, 2026($251)
QMNG M6short1May 7, 2026May 8, 2026($84)
QMGC M6long1May 5, 2026May 6, 2026$1,252
MES M6long1May 4, 2026May 5, 2026$119
QMCL M6short1May 4, 2026May 5, 2026($340)
QMCL M6short1Apr 27, 2026Apr 28, 2026($217)
QMNG K6short1Apr 23, 2026Apr 24, 2026$174
QMNG K6short1Apr 16, 2026Apr 17, 2026($72)
QMGC M6long1Apr 14, 2026Apr 15, 2026($285)
QMNG K6short1Apr 9, 2026Apr 10, 2026$72
QMGC M6long1Apr 7, 2026Apr 8, 2026($8)
QMCL K6short1Apr 6, 2026Apr 7, 2026($440)
QMNG K6short1Apr 2, 2026Apr 6, 2026$10
MNQ M6long1Apr 2, 2026Apr 3, 2026$715
QMCL K6short1Mar 30, 2026Mar 31, 2026($171)
MES M6long1Mar 30, 2026Mar 30, 2026$382

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.