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Avata

Stocks · Started Jan 2026

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
15.2%
Max Drawdown
20.9%
Trades
49
Win Trades
49.0%
Profit Factor
3.30
Win Months
62.5%
Subscribe Full access for $149/month

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2026-0.52.6-4.214.38.74.7-14.35.615.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/15/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age7 months
C2 RankTop 8.6%
What it tradesStocks
# Trades49
# Profitable24
% Profitable49.0%
Avg trade duration87.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown20.9%
drawdown periodJune 22, 2026 - July 29, 2026
Cumul. Return15.2%
Avg win$508
Avg loss$159

Ratios

W:L ratio3.28
Sharpe Ratio0.87
Sortino Ratio1.26
Calmar Ratio1.71

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.57
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life10.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)4.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)25.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)31.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity13.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.3%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss31.5%
Chance of 20% account loss2.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)774
C2 Score914
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)431

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187474
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$159
Avg Win$508
# Winners24
Sum Trade PL (losers)$3,986
Sum Trade PL (winners)$12,198
Num Months Winners5
# Losers25
% Winners49.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct875

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table8

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)126126.80
Avg Position Time (hrs)2102.11
Avg Trade Length87.60
Last Trade Ago37

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.54
Daily leverage (max)0.71

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.97
Treynor Index0.07

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.56
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-2.77
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.36
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.67
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.74

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.31
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.09
df6
t0.96
p0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.73
Sortino ratio2.16
Upside Potential Ratio3.53
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms2
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.01
r0.44
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.88
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error5
t(b)1.11
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.51
p(a)0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.05
Treynor index (mean / b)0.35
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
Mean0.28
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.98
df6
t0.86
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.73
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.61
Sortino ratio1.84
Upside Potential Ratio3.21
Upside part of mean0.49
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms2
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.01
r0.43
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.87
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error5
t(b)1.07
p(b)0.17
t(a)0.44
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.03
Treynor index (mean / b)0.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.27
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.15
df155
t0.89
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.69
Sortino ratio1.67
Upside Potential Ratio9.26
Upside part of mean1.52
Downside part of mean-1.24
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms88
N negative terms68
N of observations156
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.02
r0.54
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.92
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error154
t(b)8.04
p(b)0.23
t(a)0.52
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.24
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.03
df155
t0.80
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.57
Sortino ratio1.47
Upside Potential Ratio9.04
Upside part of mean1.50
Downside part of mean-1.26
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms88
N negative terms68
N of observations156
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.02
r0.54
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.92
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error154
t(b)8.04
p(b)0.23
t(a)0.45
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.63
Treynor index (mean / b)0.27
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.31
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.19
df130
t0.84
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.96
Sortino ratio1.72
Upside Potential Ratio9.74
Upside part of mean1.73
Downside part of mean-1.43
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms74
N negative terms57
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)7.96
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.31
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)0.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean0.27
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.06
df130
t0.75
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.83
Sortino ratio1.52
Upside Potential Ratio9.50
Upside part of mean1.72
Downside part of mean-1.44
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms74
N negative terms57
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)7.97
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.23
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.79
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.66
Treynor index (mean / b)0.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.89
Quartile 11.00
Median1.05
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.89
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations156
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.20
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.03
Median0.06
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.58
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.24
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.61
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.23
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.78
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-388469408
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)37
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.36
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.36
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.36
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.09
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.30
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.31
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.72
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.49
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.87
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.33
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.35
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.48
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.26

Trading record

Placed 20 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
UBER long15Mar 11, 2026Jul 8, 2026($19)
VISN long75Mar 11, 2026Jul 8, 2026($414)
TIGO long20Mar 11, 2026Jul 8, 2026$405
SYF long16Mar 11, 2026Jul 8, 2026$82
SSRM long60Mar 11, 2026Jul 8, 2026($108)
CDE long85Mar 11, 2026Jul 8, 2026($587)
ARQT long50Mar 11, 2026May 13, 2026($133)
WLDN long12Mar 11, 2026Apr 27, 2026($193)
ALGT long18Mar 6, 2026Mar 11, 2026$22
NESR long50Mar 2, 2026Mar 11, 2026($224)
PTEN long80Feb 11, 2026Mar 11, 2026$107
WTI long350Feb 11, 2026Mar 11, 2026$56
ERO long50Mar 6, 2026Mar 11, 2026($23)
ISMAY long50Feb 3, 2026Mar 11, 2026$216
MNSAF long100Feb 2, 2026Mar 11, 2026($76)
AGI long15Jan 30, 2026Mar 11, 2026$156
TRX long50Jan 29, 2026Mar 11, 2026($15)
CNL long80Jan 23, 2026Mar 11, 2026($9)
PRM long20Jan 23, 2026Mar 11, 2026($109)
CDP long50Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026$77
EMEQ long50Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026$180
HASI long50Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026$90
RCUS long75Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026$135
SEPN long50Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026($4)
AMRX long100Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026($41)
TALO long125Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026$221
ARDX long200Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026($210)
ORMP long285Jan 16, 2026Mar 11, 2026($32)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.