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Singularity

Futures · Started Jul 2026

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
12.5%
Max Drawdown
12.0%
Trades
78
Win Trades
34.6%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
50.0%
Subscribe Full access for $149/month

About this strategy

Singularity is a fully automated quantitative trading system focused exclusively on the Nasdaq-100 futures market.

The system comprises a diversified portfolio of independently developed systematic models designed to capture different market behaviors and sources of market edge. Rather than relying on a single methodology, each model contributes to the overall portfolio with the objective of improving consistency and reducing dependence on any individual trading approach.

The underlying research was performed using Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ), while the live implementation currently executes using Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 (MNQ) futures. This reflects account size and risk management considerations rather than any dependence on the micro contract itself. The system is designed to scale naturally as capital grows.

Every trade is generated algorithmically according to predefined rules. There is no discretionary trade selection, no subjective market interpretation, and no manual intervention in the trading process. All signals published through Collective2 are generated directly from my live trading account.

Research prioritized robustness over optimization. Portfolio construction considered both individual model performance and inter-model correlation with the objective of improving overall portfolio robustness. Capital preservation, consistency, and long-term risk-adjusted performance were prioritized over maximizing standalone strategy returns.

Only models demonstrating robust historical performance, successful forward validation, and meaningful contribution to the overall portfolio were selected for live deployment.

The system has been extensively backtested, forward tested, and has been trading live since October 2025.

Risk management is embedded throughout the strategy. Core principles include:
- Fully systematic execution
- No discretionary overrides
- No martingale or progressive position sizing
- No averaging down losing positions
- Trading exclusively in one of the world's most liquid futures markets
- Diversification across multiple independent quantitative models

Like every systematic investment strategy, Singularity will experience losing trades and periods of drawdown. These are expected features of a probabilistic trading process rather than reasons to alter the underlying methodology. Performance should be evaluated over a meaningful number of trades and across complete market cycles instead of individual trades or short-term fluctuations.

Singularity is intended for investors who value discipline, transparency, and a repeatable quantitative investment process over short-term excitement.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2026-1.914.612.5

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/2/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,000
Age52 days
C2 RankTop 8.6%
What it tradesFutures
# Trades78
# Profitable27
% Profitable34.6%
Avg trade duration3.3 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown12.0%
drawdown periodJuly 02, 2026 - July 23, 2026
Cumul. Return12.5%
Avg win$504
Avg loss$196

Ratios

W:L ratio1.36
Sharpe Ratio2.24
Sortino Ratio4.80
Calmar Ratio17.78

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.20
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life2.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)10.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)116.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)151.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.4%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss6.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)713
C2 Score914
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)615

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187612
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$196
Avg Win$504
# Winners27
Sum Trade PL (losers)$9,993
Sum Trade PL (winners)$13,607
Num Months Winners1
# Losers51
% Winners34.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table2

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)199.92
Avg Position Time (hrs)3.33
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago2

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)4.15
Daily leverage (max)12.13

Regression

Alpha0.24
Beta0.64
Treynor Index0.43

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-12.37
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.81
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.37
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.16
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.08

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.94
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-424142112
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)21
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

Trading record

Placed 230 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MNQ U6short1Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026$65
MNQ U6long2Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026$246
MNQ U6short1Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026$110
MNQ U6short2Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026($196)
MNQ U6short3Aug 20, 2026Aug 20, 2026($162)
MNQ U6short1Aug 19, 2026Aug 19, 2026$161
MNQ U6long2Aug 19, 2026Aug 19, 2026$495
MNQ U6short1Aug 19, 2026Aug 19, 2026$455
MNQ U6short2Aug 19, 2026Aug 19, 2026($199)
MNQ U6short1Aug 18, 2026Aug 18, 2026$380
MNQ U6short3Aug 14, 2026Aug 14, 2026$366
MNQ U6long14Aug 13, 2026Aug 13, 2026$330
MNQ U6long1Aug 12, 2026Aug 12, 2026($261)
MNQ U6short1Aug 11, 2026Aug 11, 2026($160)
MNQ U6long1Aug 10, 2026Aug 10, 2026($101)
MNQ U6long1Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($102)
MNQ U6long1Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($102)
MNQ U6long1Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($179)
MNQ U6long1Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($213)
MNQ U6long2Aug 5, 2026Aug 5, 2026($376)
MNQ U6short2Aug 5, 2026Aug 5, 2026($198)
MNQ U6long1Aug 5, 2026Aug 5, 2026($50)
MNQ U6short1Aug 5, 2026Aug 5, 2026($32)
MNQ U6long12Aug 4, 2026Aug 5, 2026$3,730
MNQ U6short2Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026($203)
MNQ U6short2Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026($202)
MNQ U6long1Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026$269
MNQ U6long1Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026($102)
MNQ U6short1Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026($39)
MNQ U6short1Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026($101)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.