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Steady MAKE money

Equity · Stocks · Started Sep 2023

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
51.3%
Max Drawdown
85.5%
Trades
1823
Win Trades
57.7%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
72.2%
Subscribe Full access for $100/month

About this strategy

As a data analyst with nine years of experience, I deeply understand that formulating a successful trading strategy is not possible without thorough stock screening, monitoring market trends, implementing technical analysis strategies, continuous backtesting of data, and analyzing backtest results.
Fortunately, my background in knowledge supports me through the entire process, and I've successfully implemented fully automated trading. This includes automated data feeding, automated calculations, and the automatic generation of trading signals according to predefined strategies. Most importantly, I use it on my own money in my Interactive Brokers account. In this age where data can easily be manipulated, you may find it reassuring to know that there are individuals who use the system for real trading in their own accounts. The fluctuations on my statements represent my actual investments, with no exaggerations or false claims of profits. My automated trading strategy strives to exit positions when stock prices reach relative highs and enter when they are relatively low, eliminating emotional trading. Ultimately, this approach allows for stability and the realization of deserved profits in the market. It's that simple!
I maintain a disciplined routine of checking the market every hour while trading, making necessary adjustments, and potentially entering or exiting positions. I also personally monitor the connection of my automated trading system to Interactive Brokers to prevent any unnecessary losses. You're welcome to replicate my trades now and join me in experiencing stable growth in the market for your assets!

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20233.1-5.421.49.529.7
20248.220.810.0-18.215.98.4-8.7-1.81.1-6.15.98.845.1
202517.8-19.3-28.75.018.315.910.913.39.17.3-28.517.420.6
202633.92.9-11.782.381.643.0-78.218.448.6

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/20/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$340,000
Age36 months
C2 RankTop 7.4%
What it tradesStocks
# Trades1823
# Profitable1052
% Profitable57.7%
Avg trade duration9.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown85.5%
drawdown periodJune 22, 2026 - July 29, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)51.3%
Avg win$1,378
Avg loss$1,566

Ratios

W:L ratio1.21
Sharpe Ratio0.75
Sortino Ratio1.07
Calmar Ratio0.65

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.47
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life74.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)162.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)51.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.5%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)53.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity332.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss90.5%
Chance of 20% account loss77.5%
Chance of 30% account loss77.5%
Chance of 40% account loss56.0%
Chance of 50% account loss45.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)28.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)17.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)10.5%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)1.5%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)623
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)961
C2 Score926
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)841

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?186554
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,566
Avg Win$1,378
# Winners1052
Sum Trade PL (losers)$1,207,709
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,449,443
Num Months Winners26
# Losers771
% Winners57.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct5995

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table36

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)13783.68
Avg Position Time (hrs)229.73
Avg Trade Length9.60
Last Trade Ago2

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.77
Daily leverage (max)5.75

Regression

Alpha0.08
Beta2.72
Treynor Index0.08

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.04
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades70.34
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-2.27
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.57
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.44
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.08

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.77
SD0.95
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.82
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.80
df33
t1.37
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.99
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.98
Sortino ratio1.56
Upside Potential Ratio3.04
Upside part of mean1.51
Downside part of mean-0.74
Upside SD0.82
Downside SD0.50
N nonnegative terms22
N negative terms12
N of observations34
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.77
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.95
Covariance0.06
r0.58
b (slope, estimate of beta)4.74
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.62
DF error32
t(b)4.00
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.09
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.99
Treynor index (mean / b)0.16
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
Mean0.36
SD0.92
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.38
df33
t0.65
p0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.54
Sortino ratio0.54
Upside Potential Ratio1.92
Upside part of mean1.27
Downside part of mean-0.91
Upside SD0.63
Downside SD0.66
N nonnegative terms22
N negative terms12
N of observations34
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.92
Covariance0.06
r0.53
b (slope, estimate of beta)4.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.35
Mean Square Error0.63
DF error32
t(b)3.50
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.68
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta6.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.70
Treynor index (mean / b)0.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.35
VaR(95%)0.34
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.40
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.24
Mean0.78
SD0.86
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.91
df755
t1.54
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.06
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.06
Sortino ratio1.31
Upside Potential Ratio8.19
Upside part of mean4.87
Downside part of mean-4.09
Upside SD0.62
Downside SD0.59
N nonnegative terms418
N negative terms338
N of observations756
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.78
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.86
Covariance0.06
r0.47
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.62
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.32
Mean Square Error0.58
DF error754
t(b)14.43
p(b)0
t(a)0.70
p(a)0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.20
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.32
Mean0.41
SD0.87
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.47
df755
t0.79
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.69
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.62
Sortino ratio0.63
Upside Potential Ratio7.30
Upside part of mean4.69
Downside part of mean-4.29
Upside SD0.58
Downside SD0.64
N nonnegative terms418
N negative terms338
N of observations756
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.41
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.87
Covariance0.06
r0.46
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.59
DF error754
t(b)14.34
p(b)0
t(a)-0.07
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.86
Treynor index (mean / b)0.15
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean1.32
SD1.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.85
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.84
df130
t0.60
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.61
Sortino ratio1.21
Upside Potential Ratio9.20
Upside part of mean10.06
Downside part of mean-8.73
Upside SD1.11
Downside SD1.09
N nonnegative terms71
N negative terms60
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion1.32
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion1.56
Covariance0.12
r0.53
b (slope, estimate of beta)5.91
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error1.76
DF error129
t(b)7.17
p(b)0.18
t(a)0.06
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.84
Treynor index (mean / b)0.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.08
SD1.60
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.05
df130
t0.03
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.82
Sortino ratio0.06
Upside Potential Ratio7.85
Upside part of mean9.49
Downside part of mean-9.42
Upside SD1.04
Downside SD1.21
N nonnegative terms71
N negative terms60
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion1.60
Covariance0.12
r0.52
b (slope, estimate of beta)5.92
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.08
Mean Square Error1.87
DF error129
t(b)6.97
p(b)0.18
t(a)-0.56
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.24
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-4.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.76
Treynor index (mean / b)0.01
Jensen alpha (a)-1.08
VaR(95%)0.15
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.18
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.14

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations34
Minimum0.43
Quartile 10.97
Median1.07
Quartile 31.15
Maximum1.86
Mean of quarter 10.78
Mean of quarter 21.02
Mean of quarter 31.11
Mean of quarter 41.36
Inter Quartile Range0.18
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.59
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.85
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.13
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.00
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.31
Number of observations756
Minimum0.68
Quartile 10.98
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.23
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low40
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.87
Number of outliers high36
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.08
Number of observations131
Minimum0.68
Quartile 10.96
Median1.00
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.22
Mean of quarter 10.88
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.74
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.38
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.26
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.16

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.11
Quartile 10.14
Median0.22
Quartile 30.35
Maximum0.73
Mean of quarter 10.13
Mean of quarter 20.14
Mean of quarter 30.30
Mean of quarter 40.55
Inter Quartile Range0.21
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.73
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations37
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.05
Quartile 30.14
Maximum0.83
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.37
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.54
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.33
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.44
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.51
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.37
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.78
Number of observations9
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.04
Median0.08
Quartile 30.26
Maximum0.83
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30.22
Mean of quarter 40.58
Inter Quartile Range0.22
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.83
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.55
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.79
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.98
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.23
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-455859520
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)37
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.69
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.47
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.85
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.16
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.86
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.54
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.65
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.46
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.25
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.11
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.11
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.13
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.19
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.60

Trading record

Placed 5329 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
INTC long193Jul 23, 2026Aug 12, 2026($384)
MU long266May 27, 2026Aug 5, 2026($14,938)
FAS long150Jul 21, 2026Jul 27, 2026$910
AMD long200Jun 11, 2026Jul 17, 2026($11,285)
MRVL long200Jun 10, 2026Jul 17, 2026($17,153)
INTC long300Jun 22, 2026Jul 16, 2026($12,899)
GLW long100Jun 29, 2026Jul 16, 2026($8,739)
IBM long47Jul 1, 2026Jul 15, 2026($2,930)
SPCX long200Jun 22, 2026Jul 1, 2026($958)
IBM short53Jun 8, 2026Jul 1, 2026$86
APLD long1000Jun 9, 2026Jun 22, 2026$4,386
SOFX long3600Jun 1, 2026Jun 22, 2026($3,062)
TSLA long100Jun 11, 2026Jun 12, 2026($783)
UVXY long4000Jun 9, 2026Jun 9, 2026$2,845
AMD long260May 4, 2026Jun 9, 2026$6,172
DELL long190May 27, 2026Jun 9, 2026$69
MRVL long500Apr 24, 2026Jun 9, 2026$20,412
SOXL long1190May 6, 2026Jun 9, 2026($26,334)
AAOI long300May 11, 2026Jun 9, 2026($1,412)
ARM long330Apr 24, 2026Jun 8, 2026$19,128
QBTS long700May 22, 2026Jun 8, 2026($2,703)
IBM long47May 29, 2026Jun 8, 2026($99)
NOW long200May 29, 2026May 29, 2026$498
IREN long700May 21, 2026May 27, 2026$1,822
CRCL long200May 5, 2026May 27, 2026($3,549)
PL long500May 26, 2026May 26, 2026($817)
INTC long200May 14, 2026May 22, 2026$540

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.