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Solid Companies

Stocks · Started Jun 2024

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
50.8%
Max Drawdown
34.8%
Trades
330
Win Trades
60.3%
Profit Factor
4.40
Win Months
66.7%
Subscribe Full access for $59/month

About this strategy

Fundamental research in top sectors. Positions will be reduced and/or exited based on multiple parameters to protect gains and minimize losses. The model includes companies mostly in $100 million to $5B mkt cap. From time to time, there may be a couple of OTC stocks. Not many, only a few/couple. These are not necessarily penny stocks. These are mostly great international companies with sufficient liquidity - just that these trade OTC in US. (They do trade on their country's main exchanges).

IF SUBSCRIBING, follow all holdings. Most gains may come from current holdings.

The model does not guarantee positive results every month but does aim to provide high double digit returns.

Disclosure: For information purposes only. None of the holdings or transactions should be construed as investment advice directly or indirectly. Consult a financial professional and/or Do your own research.

Source:
https://www.SmartMarketSignals.com
https://www.AccurateTradeSignals.com
https://HedgedEquity.ai

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20240.32.50.01.62.8-0.39.217.0
20250.1-10.3-11.33.89.524.519.02.011.714.5-17.25.452.6
202615.0-6.4-4.530.725.1-4.7-18.67.740.3

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/2/2024
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age27 months
C2 RankTop 4.0%
What it tradesStocks
# Trades330
# Profitable199
% Profitable60.3%
Avg trade duration122.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown34.8%
drawdown periodOct 15, 2025 - Nov 21, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)50.8%
Avg win$240
Avg loss$82

Ratios

W:L ratio4.43
Sharpe Ratio1.17
Sortino Ratio1.86
Calmar Ratio1.96

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.42
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life45.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)104.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)50.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.5%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)54.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity23.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss44.5%
Chance of 20% account loss16.0%
Chance of 30% account loss5.0%
Chance of 40% account loss1.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)450
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)909
C2 Score960
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)841

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$140
Avg Win$297
# Winners200
Sum Trade PL (losers)$18,169
Sum Trade PL (winners)$59,388
Num Months Winners19
# Losers130
% Winners60.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct48

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table27

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)176546.30
Avg Position Time (hrs)2942.44
Avg Trade Length122.60
Last Trade Ago3

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.74
Daily leverage (max)1.41

Regression

Alpha0.09
Beta0.84
Treynor Index0.15

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.75
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.49
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.63
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.25
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.69

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.57
SD0.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.10
df24
t1.63
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.49
Sortino ratio3.60
Upside Potential Ratio5.21
Upside part of mean0.82
Downside part of mean-0.25
Upside SD0.49
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms14
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.57
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.50
Covariance0.07
r0.73
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.87
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.24
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error23
t(b)5.08
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.96
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.76
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.24
Mean0.45
SD0.44
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99
df24
t1.48
p0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.38
Sortino ratio2.70
Upside Potential Ratio4.29
Upside part of mean0.72
Downside part of mean-0.27
Upside SD0.42
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms14
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.45
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.44
Covariance0.06
r0.72
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.68
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error23
t(b)4.96
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.87
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.66
Treynor index (mean / b)0.27
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.16
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.20
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
Mean0.48
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.57
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.57
df553
t2.29
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.92
Sortino ratio2.55
Upside Potential Ratio10.23
Upside part of mean1.94
Downside part of mean-1.45
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms303
N negative terms251
N of observations554
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance0.02
r0.43
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.81
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.35
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error552
t(b)11.20
p(b)0
t(a)1.84
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.73
Treynor index (mean / b)0.60
Jensen alpha (a)0.35
Mean0.44
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.43
df553
t2.08
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.78
Sortino ratio2.27
Upside Potential Ratio9.91
Upside part of mean1.91
Downside part of mean-1.47
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms303
N negative terms251
N of observations554
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.44
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance0.02
r0.44
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.81
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.32
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error552
t(b)11.36
p(b)0
t(a)1.67
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)0.54
Jensen alpha (a)0.32
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.56
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.75
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.74
df130
t1.24
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.52
Sortino ratio2.63
Upside Potential Ratio11.13
Upside part of mean2.39
Downside part of mean-1.83
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms58
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.56
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.03
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error129
t(b)8.58
p(b)0.14
t(a)0.76
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.01
Treynor index (mean / b)0.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
Mean0.51
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.58
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.58
df130
t1.12
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.35
Sortino ratio2.34
Upside Potential Ratio10.81
Upside part of mean2.36
Downside part of mean-1.85
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms58
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.51
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.03
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.24
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error129
t(b)8.60
p(b)0.14
t(a)0.66
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.06
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.97
Treynor index (mean / b)0.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.24
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations25
Minimum0.85
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.47
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.26
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.86
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high1.32
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-4.85
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.41
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09
Number of observations554
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low20
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high18
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.36
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.02
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.04
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.27
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.27
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations38
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.30
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.58
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.38
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.14
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.18
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.03
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.25
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.25
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.20
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.17
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.63
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.28
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.82
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-472377760
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)37
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.83
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.62
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.29
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.41
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.08
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.79
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.59
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs4.31
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal16.22
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.62
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.72
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.86
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.06
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal18.62

Trading record

Placed 1210 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
RRC long8Apr 8, 2026Aug 14, 2026($21)
EGAN long80May 18, 2026Aug 14, 2026$61
AEHR long7May 19, 2026Aug 14, 2026$244
PHIN long5Jul 14, 2026Aug 12, 2026($19)
PUBM long50Jun 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$88
EOSE long100Mar 18, 2026Aug 4, 2026($124)
CGEH long55Apr 29, 2026Jun 30, 2026$37
QUIK long50May 1, 2026Jun 24, 2026$162
SKYT long15Apr 1, 2026May 19, 2026$59
IONQ long7Apr 1, 2026May 11, 2026$203
ADTN long40May 1, 2026May 11, 2026($96)
PAOTF long35Mar 17, 2026May 7, 2026$43
EPOW long200Mar 30, 2026May 7, 2026($38)
TPL long1Apr 10, 2026May 6, 2026$13
DBO long25Mar 23, 2026May 6, 2026$41
FEIM long18Mar 10, 2026May 1, 2026$100
CRDO long4Mar 17, 2026Apr 28, 2026$249
ALAB long3Mar 27, 2026Apr 24, 2026$291
USO long4Mar 23, 2026Apr 8, 2026$52
FJET long100Apr 2, 2026Apr 6, 2026($13)
VIAV long10Mar 16, 2026Mar 27, 2026$29
NNOMF long300Feb 19, 2026Mar 27, 2026($23)
GLD long1Mar 23, 2026Mar 27, 2026$11
FLNG long20Mar 24, 2026Mar 27, 2026($25)
VIVO long150Mar 13, 2026Mar 23, 2026$43
TTMI long4Feb 12, 2026Mar 23, 2026$38
ALM long8Mar 11, 2026Mar 19, 2026($38)
QUCY long150Mar 11, 2026Mar 13, 2026($26)
XTIA long100Mar 9, 2026Mar 11, 2026$18
STEM long20Mar 5, 2026Mar 10, 2026($15)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.