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Sharpely TOS

Equity · Stocks · Started Apr 2025

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
28.8%
Max Drawdown
13.1%
Trades
360
Win Trades
49.4%
Profit Factor
1.80
Win Months
58.8%
Subscribe Full access for $79/month

About this strategy

SHARPELY TOS — SYSTEMATIC STOCK ENGINE
Sharpely is a live, TOS-certified systematic stock strategy traded with my own capital through BrokerTransmit.

Historical equity, including pre-C2 performance and current results:
http://tiny.cc/gxf4101

WHY SHARPELY?
Most strategies rely on one market behavior. Sharpely combines multiple independent stock systems within one portfolio designed for long-term compounding.

This is not a passive buy-and-hold portfolio. The strategy blends momentum and mean-reversion systems across different holding periods, all managed within a single portfolio-level risk framework.

The objective is simple:
• capture upside when opportunities are favorable
• reduce exposure when market conditions weaken
• manage risk across the entire portfolio
• compound capital through disciplined execution

Every trade is rule-based. There are no discretionary overrides, no martingale, no averaging down, and no emotional position management.
Position sizing is volatility-aware. Lower-volatility systems can receive more capital, while higher-volatility systems are sized more conservatively.
Exposure can expand when market conditions improve and naturally contract when risk increases.

WHAT MAKES IT DIFFERENT?
• TOS certified and traded with my own capital
• multiple independent equity systems
• fully systematic execution
• dynamic exposure across market regimes
• portfolio-level risk management
• designed to reduce dependence on a single market environment

For the most consistent replication, AutoTrade is recommended and current positions should generally be followed as part of the complete portfolio.

Attack when conditions are favorable.
Step back when risk increases.
Let the process compound.

Momentum Short-term Reversal

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-0.3-0.4-2.8-1.8-0.84.11.45.61.86.6
20268.912.91.33.63.83.9-1.1-4.131.9

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/23/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$5,000
Age16 months
C2 Rank362
What it tradesStocks
# Trades360
# Profitable178
% Profitable49.4%
Avg trade duration20.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown13.1%
drawdown periodJuly 24, 2026 - Aug 03, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)28.8%
Avg win$154
Avg loss$86

Ratios

W:L ratio1.79
Sharpe Ratio1.40
Sortino Ratio2.25
Calmar Ratio6.13

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.36
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life42.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-2.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)28.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)35.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity8.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss10.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)469
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)982
C2 Score362
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)935

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187230
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$86
Avg Win$154
# Winners178
Sum Trade PL (losers)$15,643
Sum Trade PL (winners)$27,419
Num Months Winners11
# Losers182
% Winners49.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct610

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table17

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)30006.82
Avg Position Time (hrs)500.11
Avg Trade Length20.80
Last Trade Ago3

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1
Daily leverage (max)2.35

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta0.42
Treynor Index0.16

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades6.06
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.47
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.52
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.62
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.21

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.33
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.37
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.24
df14
t2.65
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.18
Sortino ratio11.60
Upside Potential Ratio13.14
Upside part of mean0.37
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms5
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.33
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance-0.01
r-0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.42
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error13
t(b)-1.14
p(b)0.69
t(a)2.87
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.73
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.98
Jensen alpha (a)0.42
Mean0.31
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.25
df14
t2.66
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.19
Sortino ratio11.02
Upside Potential Ratio12.56
Upside part of mean0.36
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms5
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.00
r-0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.40
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error13
t(b)-1.14
p(b)0.69
t(a)2.88
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.70
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.95
Jensen alpha (a)0.40
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.30
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.05
df339
t2.34
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.77
Sortino ratio3.49
Upside Potential Ratio11.67
Upside part of mean0.99
Downside part of mean-0.70
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms170
N negative terms170
N of observations340
Mean of predictor0.25
Mean of criterion0.30
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.01
r0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error338
t(b)7.04
p(b)0
t(a)1.62
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.43
Treynor index (mean / b)0.74
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
Mean0.29
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.98
df339
t2.26
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.71
Sortino ratio3.34
Upside Potential Ratio11.50
Upside part of mean0.99
Downside part of mean-0.70
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms170
N negative terms170
N of observations340
Mean of predictor0.25
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.01
r0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error338
t(b)7.07
p(b)0
t(a)1.57
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.71
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.21
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.16
df130
t0.83
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.94
Sortino ratio1.83
Upside Potential Ratio10.46
Upside part of mean1.18
Downside part of mean-0.98
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms65
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.39
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)4.78
p(b)0.26
t(a)0.46
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)0.43
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.19
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.08
df130
t0.77
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.70
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.85
Sortino ratio1.68
Upside Potential Ratio10.29
Upside part of mean1.18
Downside part of mean-0.98
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms65
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.39
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)4.81
p(b)0.26
t(a)0.42
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.29
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.55
Treynor index (mean / b)0.39
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations15
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.02
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.66
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.40
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations340
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.20
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.03
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations33
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.39
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.79
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations18
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.86
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.95
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-386166656
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)10
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.43
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.41
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)11.91
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.91
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.98
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.39
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.37
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.13
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.89
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal21.55
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.23
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.25
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.06
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.08
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.40

Trading record

Placed 829 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
VIAV long171Aug 19, 2026Aug 20, 2026$178
TSX.MTL long139Jul 3, 2026Aug 6, 2026$559
LITE long2Jul 2, 2026Aug 4, 2026$129
AAPL long1Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026($0)
VIAV long207Jul 29, 2026Jul 30, 2026$418
SNDK long5Jul 27, 2026Jul 30, 2026($668)
AMD long14Jul 28, 2026Jul 30, 2026($14)
RHI long184Jul 24, 2026Jul 27, 2026$131
GLW long41Jul 16, 2026Jul 20, 2026($101)
CIEN long17Jul 16, 2026Jul 20, 2026($97)
MRVL long34Jul 16, 2026Jul 17, 2026$39
TSX.TCL short220Jul 9, 2026Jul 9, 2026($48)
TSX.TCL long660Jul 8, 2026Jul 8, 2026($8)
RKLB long77Jul 7, 2026Jul 8, 2026($25)
TSX.TCL long660Jul 7, 2026Jul 7, 2026($8)
TSX.TCL long880Jul 3, 2026Jul 6, 2026($10)
AAON long60Jul 2, 2026Jul 6, 2026$33
POWL long27Jul 2, 2026Jul 6, 2026$203
IESC long10Jul 2, 2026Jul 6, 2026$109
ECG long46Jul 2, 2026Jul 6, 2026($111)
STRL long9Jul 2, 2026Jul 6, 2026($42)
TLN long18Jul 1, 2026Jul 2, 2026$80
CAR long39Jun 25, 2026Jun 26, 2026$34
QCOM long34Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026$932
MDB long19Jun 18, 2026Jun 23, 2026$122
AKAM long45Jun 9, 2026Jun 11, 2026($149)
CIEN long12Jun 5, 2026Jun 11, 2026($644)
SMCI long162Jun 10, 2026Jun 11, 2026($1,010)
TWLO long30Jun 9, 2026Jun 10, 2026$206
MU long6Jun 5, 2026Jun 8, 2026$147

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.