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QUANT AI Gold and Silver

Futures · Stocks · Started Sep 2025

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
47.5%
Max Drawdown
24.9%
Trades
158
Win Trades
97.5%
Profit Factor
17.90
Win Months
50.0%
Subscribe Full access for $199/month

Commodities

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-2.331.08.2-0.737.5
20268.63.2-2.6-2.21.7-17.2-1.020.87.3

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/23/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age11 months
C2 RankTop 8.6%
What it tradesStocks
# Trades158
# Profitable154
% Profitable97.5%
Avg trade duration5.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown24.9%
drawdown periodApril 17, 2026 - July 20, 2026
Cumul. Return47.5%
Avg win$52
Avg loss$112

Ratios

W:L ratio17.90
Sharpe Ratio1.32
Sortino Ratio2.24
Calmar Ratio4.93

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.30
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life15.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)32.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)52.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.5%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)84.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity7.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.4%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss34.5%
Chance of 20% account loss8.5%
Chance of 30% account loss1.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated97.7%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)774
C2 Score914
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)557

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$112
Avg Win$52
# Winners154
Sum Trade PL (losers)$449
Sum Trade PL (winners)$8,036
Num Months Winners6
# Losers4
% Winners97.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table12

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)7244.17
Avg Position Time (hrs)120.74
Avg Trade Length5
Last Trade Ago2

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.50
Daily leverage (max)64.64

Regression

Alpha0.10
Beta0.69
Treynor Index0.19

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.09
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.07
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.90
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.69
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-3.83
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.49

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.49
SD0.34
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.32
df9
t1.32
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.91
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.56
Sortino ratio3.26
Upside Potential Ratio4.66
Upside part of mean0.70
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms3
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.49
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.34
Covariance0.02
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.48
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.44
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error8
t(b)0.75
p(b)0.24
t(a)1.12
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.33
Treynor index (mean / b)1.03
Jensen alpha (a)0.44
Mean0.43
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.22
df9
t1.22
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.54
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.44
Sortino ratio2.69
Upside Potential Ratio4.08
Upside part of mean0.66
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms3
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.43
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.02
r0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.51
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.38
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error8
t(b)0.84
p(b)0.21
t(a)1.04
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.22
Treynor index (mean / b)0.84
Jensen alpha (a)0.38
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.14
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.64
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.25
df235
t2.14
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.17
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.32
Sortino ratio4.13
Upside Potential Ratio10.92
Upside part of mean1.69
Downside part of mean-1.05
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms129
N negative terms107
N of observations236
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.64
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.01
r0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.68
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.54
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error234
t(b)5.13
p(b)0
t(a)1.92
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.10
Treynor index (mean / b)0.94
Jensen alpha (a)0.54
Mean0.60
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.14
df235
t2.04
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.21
Sortino ratio3.80
Upside Potential Ratio10.55
Upside part of mean1.66
Downside part of mean-1.06
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms129
N negative terms107
N of observations236
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.60
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.01
r0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.51
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error234
t(b)5.17
p(b)0
t(a)1.83
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.06
Treynor index (mean / b)0.89
Jensen alpha (a)0.51
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.16
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.72
df130
t0.51
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.50
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.49
Sortino ratio1.07
Upside Potential Ratio9.64
Upside part of mean1.41
Downside part of mean-1.25
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms67
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.42
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)5.26
p(b)0.24
t(a)0.09
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)0.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
Mean0.13
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.61
df130
t0.44
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.39
Sortino ratio0.90
Upside Potential Ratio9.44
Upside part of mean1.40
Downside part of mean-1.26
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms67
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.42
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)5.27
p(b)0.24
t(a)0.03
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.56
Treynor index (mean / b)0.21
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations10
Minimum0.87
Quartile 11.01
Median1.04
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.87
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.24
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-12.97
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.34
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.32
Number of observations236
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high17
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.32
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.30
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.23
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.06
Median0.08
Quartile 30.11
Maximum0.13
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations19
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.26
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.20
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.04
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-454358048
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)94
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.56
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.59
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.47
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs4.47
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.05
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.84
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.87
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs9.23
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal26.61
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.17
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.99
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.44
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.56

Trading record

Placed 70 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SLV long8Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026$6
SLV long8Aug 20, 2026Aug 21, 2026$11
SLV long192May 13, 2026Aug 20, 2026$442
PPLT long20Feb 27, 2026May 13, 2026$222
SLV long54Mar 10, 2026May 11, 2026$233
SLV long51Feb 27, 2026Mar 10, 2026$260
IAU long5Feb 25, 2026Mar 2, 2026$12
SLV long12Feb 25, 2026Feb 27, 2026$25
IAU long5Feb 24, 2026Feb 25, 2026$7
SLV long6Feb 24, 2026Feb 25, 2026$14
SLV long6Feb 24, 2026Feb 24, 2026$6
SLV long6Feb 23, 2026Feb 23, 2026$9
IAU long5Feb 23, 2026Feb 23, 2026$4
IAU long10Feb 11, 2026Feb 23, 2026$36
SLV long6Feb 20, 2026Feb 20, 2026$2
SLV long25Feb 11, 2026Feb 20, 2026$55
SLV long6Feb 11, 2026Feb 11, 2026$9
SLV long12Feb 10, 2026Feb 11, 2026$35
SLV long6Feb 9, 2026Feb 9, 2026$4
SLV long6Feb 6, 2026Feb 9, 2026$17
SLV long6Feb 5, 2026Feb 5, 2026$3
SLV long5Feb 4, 2026Feb 4, 2026$5
SLV long5Feb 4, 2026Feb 4, 2026$2
SLV long5Feb 3, 2026Feb 4, 2026$29
SLV long5Feb 3, 2026Feb 3, 2026$4
SLV long5Feb 2, 2026Feb 2, 2026$8
SLV short51Feb 2, 2026Feb 2, 2026$49
SLV short26Jan 30, 2026Feb 2, 2026$343
SLV long10Jan 30, 2026Jan 30, 2026$6
SLV long4Jan 30, 2026Jan 30, 2026$7

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.