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MNQ BANANA MONKEY

Futures · Futures · Started Dec 2025

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
38.8%
Max Drawdown
47.8%
Trades
874
Win Trades
49.1%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
88.9%
Subscribe Full access for $89/month

About this strategy

Banana Monkey is a structured intraday MNQ strategy based on predefined entry windows and disciplined execution.

The system focuses on consistency and selectivity, with a limited number of trade opportunities per day depending on market conditions. Not every window results in a trade, reinforcing a patient and controlled approach.

All trades are executed using a fixed position size of 1 MNQ contract. This is intentional. The model is designed this way to maintain clarity, consistency, and controlled exposure.

Subscribers are free to scale position size according to their own capital and risk tolerance. As a result, performance can vary depending on how the strategy is deployed.

The objective is not aggressive optimization, but a repeatable and structured approach that can be adapted and scaled over time.

Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20256.26.2
202612.50.44.55.65.019.01.8-17.630.7

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/1/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age9 months
C2 RankTop 8.6%
What it tradesFutures
# Trades874
# Profitable429
% Profitable49.1%
Avg trade duration1.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown47.8%
drawdown periodJuly 20, 2026 - Aug 17, 2026
Cumul. Return38.8%
Avg win$28
Avg loss$21

Ratios

W:L ratio1.28
Sharpe Ratio0.97
Sortino Ratio1.49
Calmar Ratio2.61

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.14
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life12.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)26.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)56.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.4%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)97.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity29.9%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss41.5%
Chance of 20% account loss13.5%
Chance of 30% account loss3.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)746
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)996
C2 Score914
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)961

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$21
Avg Win$28
# Winners429
Sum Trade PL (losers)$9,285
Sum Trade PL (winners)$11,983
Num Months Winners8
# Losers445
% Winners49.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table9

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)65.95
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.10
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago18

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)6.40
Daily leverage (max)14.16

Regression

Alpha0.18
Beta-0.52
Treynor Index-0.30

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-11.91
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.46
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats50.10
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats61.31
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.84
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.67
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.07

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.58
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.73
df7
t1.59
p0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.29
Sortino ratio3.12
Upside Potential Ratio4.34
Upside part of mean0.81
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms1
N of observations8
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.58
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance0.00
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.55
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error6
t(b)0.25
p(b)0.41
t(a)1.31
p(a)0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.57
Treynor index (mean / b)2.82
Jensen alpha (a)0.55
Mean0.53
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.53
df7
t1.40
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.06
Sortino ratio2.61
Upside Potential Ratio3.84
Upside part of mean0.78
Downside part of mean-0.25
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms1
N of observations8
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.53
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance0.00
r0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.50
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error6
t(b)0.20
p(b)0.42
t(a)1.17
p(a)0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.55
Treynor index (mean / b)3.02
Jensen alpha (a)0.50
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.73
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.76
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.75
df186
t1.49
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.08
Sortino ratio2.70
Upside Potential Ratio7.65
Upside part of mean2.07
Downside part of mean-1.34
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.27
N nonnegative terms111
N negative terms76
N of observations187
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.73
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance-0.01
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.79
Mean Square Error0.17
DF error185
t(b)-1.73
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.61
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.76
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.85
Jensen alpha (a)0.79
Mean0.64
SD0.41
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.56
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.55
df186
t1.32
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.77
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.88
Sortino ratio2.27
Upside Potential Ratio7.09
Upside part of mean2.02
Downside part of mean-1.37
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms111
N negative terms76
N of observations187
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.64
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.41
Covariance-0.01
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.70
Mean Square Error0.17
DF error185
t(b)-1.77
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.44
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.66
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.60
Jensen alpha (a)0.70
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.56
SD0.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.18
df130
t0.84
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.95
Sortino ratio1.76
Upside Potential Ratio6.96
Upside part of mean2.22
Downside part of mean-1.66
Upside SD0.35
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms76
N negative terms55
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.56
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.47
Covariance-0.01
r-0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.59
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.68
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error129
t(b)-2.04
p(b)0.61
t(a)1.03
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.99
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.95
Jensen alpha (a)0.68
Mean0.45
SD0.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.95
df130
t0.67
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.73
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.83
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.72
Sortino ratio1.34
Upside Potential Ratio6.43
Upside part of mean2.16
Downside part of mean-1.71
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD0.34
N nonnegative terms76
N negative terms55
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.45
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.47
Covariance-0.01
r-0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.60
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.57
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error129
t(b)-2.06
p(b)0.61
t(a)0.86
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.17
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.87
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.75
Jensen alpha (a)0.57
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations8
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11.04
Median1.08
Quartile 31.09
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.06
Mean of quarter 31.09
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations187
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.18
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.92
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.23
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.82
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations131
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.18
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.95
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.45
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.64
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.08

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.15
Quartile 10.15
Median0.15
Quartile 30.15
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations31
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.37
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.98
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)3.50
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.60
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations19
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.37
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.99
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)12.56
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.97
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-441225760
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)28
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.67
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.74
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.75
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.86
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.96
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.61
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs12.88
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal19.60
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.54
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.61
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.67
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.83
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.80

Trading record

Placed 1459 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MNQ U6long1Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026($100)
MNQ U6long1Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026($3)
MNQ U6long1Aug 2, 2026Aug 2, 2026($74)
MNQ U6short1Aug 2, 2026Aug 2, 2026($34)
MNQ U6short1Aug 2, 2026Aug 2, 2026($61)
MNQ U6long1Aug 2, 2026Aug 2, 2026($43)
MNQ U6long1Jul 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026$27
MNQ U6long1Jul 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026$44
MNQ U6short1Jul 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026($21)
MNQ U6long1Jul 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026($69)
MNQ U6long1Jul 29, 2026Jul 29, 2026$20
MNQ U6long1Jul 29, 2026Jul 29, 2026$36
MNQ U6long1Jul 29, 2026Jul 29, 2026$16
MNQ U6long1Jul 28, 2026Jul 28, 2026($108)
MNQ U6long1Jul 28, 2026Jul 28, 2026$13
MNQ U6short1Jul 28, 2026Jul 28, 2026($97)
MNQ U6short1Jul 28, 2026Jul 28, 2026($77)
MNQ U6short1Jul 26, 2026Jul 26, 2026($3)
MNQ U6long1Jul 26, 2026Jul 26, 2026$15
MNQ U6long1Jul 26, 2026Jul 26, 2026$26
MNQ U6short1Jul 23, 2026Jul 23, 2026($65)
MNQ U6short1Jul 23, 2026Jul 23, 2026$21
MNQ U6long1Jul 23, 2026Jul 23, 2026$14
MNQ U6long1Jul 23, 2026Jul 23, 2026($20)
MNQ U6long1Jul 22, 2026Jul 22, 2026$112
MNQ U6long1Jul 22, 2026Jul 22, 2026($22)
MNQ U6short1Jul 22, 2026Jul 22, 2026($35)
MNQ U6short1Jul 22, 2026Jul 22, 2026($52)
MNQ U6long1Jul 21, 2026Jul 21, 2026$0
MNQ U6long1Jul 21, 2026Jul 21, 2026$5

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.