Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

MT3 Algotrading

Equity · Stocks, Futures · Started Mar 2023

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
21.9%
Max Drawdown
49.6%
Trades
4466
Win Trades
39.8%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
47.6%
Subscribe Full access for $125/month

About this strategy

At the moment, not controlled and not supported.

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023-0.3-4.1-3.78.5-7.710.90.13.719.113.243.0
202424.48.94.84.216.42.37.5-5.41.8-6.08.11.287.8
202519.15.3-15.2-4.44.4-0.3-5.4-9.14.06.7-19.40.0-18.6
2026-0.1-8.5-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-10.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/31/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,000
Age41 months
C2 Rank272
What it tradesStocks, Futures
# Trades4466
# Profitable1777
% Profitable39.8%
Avg trade duration1.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown49.6%
drawdown periodFeb 06, 2025 - Dec 10, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)21.9%
Avg win$301
Avg loss$184

Ratios

W:L ratio1.08
Sharpe Ratio0.63
Sortino Ratio1
Calmar Ratio0.75

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.23
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life86.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)10.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)21.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)28.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity82.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.5%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.5%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.5%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss48.0%
Chance of 20% account loss17.5%
Chance of 30% account loss3.0%
Chance of 40% account loss1.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)348
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)659
C2 Score272
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)429

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?186749
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$184
Avg Win$301
# Winners1777
Sum Trade PL (losers)$494,950
Sum Trade PL (winners)$534,243
Num Months Winners22
# Losers2689
% Winners39.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct1453

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table42

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1998.05
Avg Position Time (hrs)33.30
Avg Trade Length1.40
Last Trade Ago185

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)3.19
Daily leverage (max)14.75

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta0.47
Treynor Index0.13

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades68.71
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.56
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats72.96
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats85.38
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.34
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.19
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.27
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.94
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.92
df39
t1.72
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.03
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.17
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.02
Sortino ratio2.05
Upside Potential Ratio3.74
Upside part of mean0.49
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms21
N negative terms19
N of observations40
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.01
r0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error38
t(b)2.04
p(b)0.02
t(a)0.97
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.48
Treynor index (mean / b)0.42
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
Mean0.23
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.84
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.82
df39
t1.53
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.27
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.91
Sortino ratio1.66
Upside Potential Ratio3.33
Upside part of mean0.46
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms21
N negative terms19
N of observations40
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.01
r0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error38
t(b)2.17
p(b)0.02
t(a)0.81
p(a)0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.43
Treynor index (mean / b)0.35
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean0.26
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.00
df878
t1.84
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.07
Sortino ratio1.66
Upside Potential Ratio9.08
Upside part of mean1.43
Downside part of mean-1.17
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms355
N negative terms524
N of observations879
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.50
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error877
t(b)8.65
p(b)0
t(a)1.30
p(a)0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.45
Treynor index (mean / b)0.53
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
Mean0.23
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.88
df878
t1.61
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.95
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.95
Sortino ratio1.43
Upside Potential Ratio8.80
Upside part of mean1.41
Downside part of mean-1.18
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms355
N negative terms524
N of observations879
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error877
t(b)8.67
p(b)0
t(a)1.10
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.46
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.00
SD0.02
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.05
df130
t-0.04
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.72
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.82
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.72
Sortino ratio-0.51
Upside Potential Ratio15.42
Upside part of mean0.03
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.02
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms127
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion-0.00
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.02
Covariance-0.00
r-0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.00
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)-1.38
p(b)0.58
t(a)0.08
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)0.06
Jensen alpha (a)0.00
Mean-0.00
SD0.02
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.06
df130
t-0.04
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.83
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.71
Sortino ratio-0.60
Upside Potential Ratio15.34
Upside part of mean0.03
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.02
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms127
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion-0.00
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.02
Covariance-0.00
r-0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.00
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)-1.38
p(b)0.58
t(a)0.06
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.04
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)0.07
Jensen alpha (a)0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations40
Minimum0.87
Quartile 10.98
Median1.01
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.95
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations879
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low39
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high56
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.05
Median0.08
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.34
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low0.01
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.34
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations40
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.39
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.32
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.24
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.14
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-468933632
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)307
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative1.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.41
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.29
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.87
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.87
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.19
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.40
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.29
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.75
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.16
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.24
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal12.32

Trading record

Placed 10569 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QMGC J6long1Feb 20, 2026Feb 20, 2026$105
MNQ H6long1Feb 20, 2026Feb 20, 2026($53)
MES H6long1Feb 20, 2026Feb 20, 2026($36)
RCL long39Feb 20, 2026Feb 20, 2026($15)
ORCL short82Feb 20, 2026Feb 20, 2026$291
AMZN long58Feb 18, 2026Feb 20, 2026$228
CCL long385Feb 18, 2026Feb 20, 2026($148)
LRCX long53Feb 17, 2026Feb 20, 2026$503
MSFT short29Feb 20, 2026Feb 20, 2026($19)
QMGC J6long5Feb 18, 2026Feb 20, 2026$1,420
MES H6short1Feb 18, 2026Feb 20, 2026($184)
ORCL long79Feb 19, 2026Feb 20, 2026($558)
MSFT long29Feb 18, 2026Feb 19, 2026($89)
GLW long94Feb 19, 2026Feb 19, 2026($313)
MNQ H6long1Feb 18, 2026Feb 18, 2026($223)
MES H6long1Feb 18, 2026Feb 18, 2026($122)
RCL long38Feb 17, 2026Feb 18, 2026($307)
LMT long18Feb 17, 2026Feb 18, 2026($66)
MSFT short30Feb 17, 2026Feb 18, 2026($86)
ORCL short81Feb 17, 2026Feb 18, 2026($117)
AMZN short60Feb 17, 2026Feb 17, 2026($187)
MES H6long1Feb 15, 2026Feb 17, 2026($326)
GLW long95Feb 17, 2026Feb 17, 2026($274)
MNQ H6long1Feb 15, 2026Feb 16, 2026($287)
QMGC J6long1Feb 16, 2026Feb 16, 2026($338)
MES H6long1Feb 13, 2026Feb 13, 2026($127)
QMGC J6long1Feb 13, 2026Feb 13, 2026($180)
BKNG short2Feb 13, 2026Feb 13, 2026($96)
AMZN long60Feb 13, 2026Feb 13, 2026($80)
QMGC J6long1Feb 13, 2026Feb 13, 2026$228

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.