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Hydra Options Spreads

Options · Options · Started Mar 2025

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
5.9%
Max Drawdown
16.7%
Trades
617
Win Trades
48.0%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
55.6%
Subscribe Full access for $200/month

About this strategy

The Hydra Option Trading Strategy

The Hydra Strategy focuses on capturing asymmetric risk-reward opportunities in options trading by deploying capital across multiple small positions with limited downside and substantial upside potential. When profitable positions are closed, capital is immediately redeployed into new opportunities—like the mythological Hydra growing two heads for each one cut off.

Core Principles

Position Sizing: Keep individual positions small (1-5% of total capital) to limit exposure on any single trade.

Asymmetric Risk-Reward: Target trades with favorable risk-reward ratios of at least 1:2, preferably 1:5 or higher.

Defined Risk: Utilize strategies with capped downside, such as long options or defined-risk spreads.

Capital Redeployment: When taking profits, redistribute capital across new opportunities, increasing the number of concurrent positions.

Volatility Long / Short Directional Bets

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-2.52.52.80.43.50.32.910.2-3.1-1.715.7
2026-4.6-1.3-1.6-4.90.9-1.77.50.2-5.9

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/2/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age18 months
C2 Rank221
What it tradesOptions
# Trades617
# Profitable296
% Profitable48.0%
Avg trade duration10.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown16.7%
drawdown periodNov 01, 2025 - June 30, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)5.9%
Avg win$601
Avg loss$520

Ratios

W:L ratio1.07
Sharpe Ratio0.32
Sortino Ratio0.51
Calmar Ratio1.47

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.17
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life28.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-19.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)5.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)14.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity12.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.6%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered2.1%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss22.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)348
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)891
C2 Score221
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)605

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187290
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$520
Avg Win$601
# Winners296
Sum Trade PL (losers)$166,915
Sum Trade PL (winners)$177,773
Num Months Winners8
# Losers321
% Winners48.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table18

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)14490.33
Avg Position Time (hrs)241.51
Avg Trade Length10.10
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)6.71
Daily leverage (max)31.95

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.13
Treynor Index0.10

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.08
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades974.38
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.25
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.84
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.24
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.00

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.13
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.17
df15
t1.43
p0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.92
Sortino ratio2.44
Upside Potential Ratio4.07
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms12
N negative terms4
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance-0.00
r-0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error14
t(b)-0.40
p(b)0.55
t(a)1.44
p(a)0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.84
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.13
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.13
df15
t1.38
p0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.88
Sortino ratio2.28
Upside Potential Ratio3.91
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms12
N negative terms4
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance-0.00
r-0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error14
t(b)-0.37
p(b)0.55
t(a)1.38
p(a)0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.36
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.92
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.12
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.02
df362
t1.21
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.69
Sortino ratio1.79
Upside Potential Ratio10.28
Upside part of mean0.69
Downside part of mean-0.57
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms171
N negative terms192
N of observations363
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error361
t(b)4.24
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.96
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)0.84
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean0.11
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.97
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.97
df362
t1.14
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.70
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.64
Sortino ratio1.68
Upside Potential Ratio10.15
Upside part of mean0.69
Downside part of mean-0.57
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms171
N negative terms192
N of observations363
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error361
t(b)4.25
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.92
p(a)0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Treynor index (mean / b)0.79
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.08
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.77
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.77
df130
t0.55
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.54
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.54
Sortino ratio1.31
Upside Potential Ratio9.81
Upside part of mean0.57
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms73
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)0.83
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.47
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.34
Treynor index (mean / b)1.48
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
Mean0.07
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.72
df130
t0.51
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.50
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.49
Sortino ratio1.22
Upside Potential Ratio9.71
Upside part of mean0.56
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms73
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)0.83
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.44
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.33
Treynor index (mean / b)1.40
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations16
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.61
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.84
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations363
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.00
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.47
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations19
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.41
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-419235296
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)241
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.17
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.96
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.26
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.16
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.47
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.38
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.59
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.10
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.53
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.58

Trading record

Placed 1295 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NVDA2628H230 long3Aug 19, 2026Aug 24, 2026($737)
NVDA2628H240 short3Aug 19, 2026Aug 24, 2026$320
CRWV2621H100 long2Aug 11, 2026Aug 22, 2026$692
CRWV2621H130 long2Aug 11, 2026Aug 22, 2026$70
CRWV2621H115 short4Aug 11, 2026Aug 22, 2026($608)
NVDA2621H235 short4Aug 7, 2026Aug 19, 2026$865
NVDA2621H225 long2Aug 7, 2026Aug 19, 2026($1,087)
NVDA2621H245 long2Aug 7, 2026Aug 19, 2026($148)
PLTR2621H160 short4Aug 3, 2026Aug 11, 2026($4,196)
PLTR2621H140 long2Aug 3, 2026Aug 11, 2026$4,415
PLTR2621H180 long2Aug 3, 2026Aug 11, 2026$511
NVDA2607H225 long2Aug 5, 2026Aug 8, 2026($404)
NVDA2607H230 short2Aug 5, 2026Aug 8, 2026$171
NVDA2605H225 short2Aug 5, 2026Aug 5, 2026$49
NVDA2605H220 long2Aug 5, 2026Aug 5, 2026$27
NVDA2621H210 short4Jul 28, 2026Aug 5, 2026($4,259)
NVDA2621H200 long2Jul 28, 2026Aug 5, 2026$3,034
NVDA2621H220 long2Jul 28, 2026Aug 5, 2026$1,246
AMZU2621H45 short5Jul 31, 2026Aug 4, 2026($426)
AMZU2621H50 long5Jul 31, 2026Aug 4, 2026$43
AMZU2621H35 long5Jul 30, 2026Aug 3, 2026$4,606
AMZU2621H40 short5Jul 30, 2026Aug 3, 2026($3,168)
RDDT2631G240 long1Jul 30, 2026Aug 1, 2026($21)
RDDT2631G200 long1Jul 30, 2026Aug 1, 2026($364)
RDDT2631G220 short2Jul 30, 2026Aug 1, 2026$175
RDDT2631G145 short1Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026$12
RDDT2631G140 long1Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026$107
MSFU2621H30 short5Jul 27, 2026Jul 30, 2026($1,252)
MSFU2621H25 long5Jul 27, 2026Jul 30, 2026$2,530
NOK2624G12 short10Jul 22, 2026Jul 25, 2026$153

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.